Investigating the impacts of climate variations and armed conflict on drought and vegetation cover in Northeast Syria (2000–2023)

IF 2.6 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ECOLOGY Journal of Arid Environments Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2024.105278
Abdullah Sukkar , Ammar Abulibdeh , Sara Essoussi , Dursun Zafer Seker
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Abstract

Over the last decades, The Northeast part of Syria (NES) has been significantly affected by multiple drought events, which are exacerbated by armed conflict and climate variations. In this study, the spatiotemporal effects of climate fluctuations on drought episodes and agricultural areas in NES from 2000 to 2023 were examined by utilizing diverse meteorological parameters combined with the normalized difference vegetation index. The relationships between the change in climatic variables and vegetation cover alterations were determined by performing different statistical methods, such as the Pearson correlation coefficient and Mann-Kendall trend analysis. The results indicated a significant decrease in the agricultural area, especially in recent years, accompanied by a notable increase in the precipitation levels. Moreover, there has been a substantial increase in temperatures, particularly in the minimum temperatures. The results also indicate that drought severity and frequency have increased since the armed conflict despite the area receiving higher precipitation amounts, highlighting the role and impacts of violence. Therefore, we recommend further research on how different vegetation species have been affected by climate change and armed conflict, defining specific growing seasons for each vegetation species, and creating land use land cover maps to understand the spatial alteration of these types better.
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调查气候变化和武装冲突对叙利亚东北部干旱和植被的影响(2000-2023 年)
在过去几十年中,叙利亚东北部(NES)受到多次干旱事件的严重影响,而武装冲突和气候变化又加剧了干旱。本研究利用各种气象参数和归一化差异植被指数,研究了 2000 年至 2023 年期间气候波动对叙利亚东北部干旱事件和农业地区的时空影响。通过不同的统计方法,如皮尔逊相关系数和 Mann-Kendall 趋势分析,确定了气候变量变化与植被变化之间的关系。结果表明,农业面积大幅减少,尤其是近年来,降水量明显增加。此外,气温大幅上升,尤其是最低气温。结果还表明,自武装冲突以来,尽管该地区降水量增加,但干旱的严重程度和频率却增加了,这凸显了暴力的作用和影响。因此,我们建议进一步研究不同植被物种如何受到气候变化和武装冲突的影响,确定每种植被物种的具体生长季节,并绘制土地利用土地覆盖图,以更好地了解这些类型的空间变化。
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来源期刊
Journal of Arid Environments
Journal of Arid Environments 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
144
审稿时长
55 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Arid Environments is an international journal publishing original scientific and technical research articles on physical, biological and cultural aspects of arid, semi-arid, and desert environments. As a forum of multi-disciplinary and interdisciplinary dialogue it addresses research on all aspects of arid environments and their past, present and future use.
期刊最新文献
Valuing drought impact mitigation on ecosystem services in a Mediterranean country Resource allocation below- and above-ground organs and their association to the environment in Mammillaria Haw. (Cactaceae) Think outside the road: Negev connectivity beyond the ‘Nabatean incense route’ Investigating the impacts of climate variations and armed conflict on drought and vegetation cover in Northeast Syria (2000–2023) Corrigendum to “Bringing water values into play in the Atacama desert water crisis” [J. Arid Environ. (2024) 1–12 105256]
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