Soft drug epidemic in deterministic and stochastic case studies

IF 1.9 4区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pramana Pub Date : 2024-11-09 DOI:10.1007/s12043-024-02845-9
Islam M Elbaz, M A Sohaly, H El-Metwally
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Abstract

Through the application of mathematical epidemiology principles, the formulation of the soft drugs model is established, and the complete dynamics of this deterministic model are contingent upon the crucial parameter called the basic reproduction number, denoted as \(R_{0}^{d}\). The stochastic soft drug epidemic models are developed by considering the parametric and non-parametric stochastic perturbation techniques. Dynamics of the two different stochastic models are determined using the analog stochastic thresholds \(R_0^{s_{1}}\), \(R_0^{s_{2}}\), respectively. Introducing suitable Lyapunov functionals enables us to establish sufficient axioms for the extinction and permanence of soft drug users in both deterministic and stochastic models. Moreover, the sensitivity of the deterministic and stochastic thresholds to some important parameters involved in the models is illustrated. For the verification of our theoretical results, we develop some numerical simulations using the Euler–Maruyama scheme.

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确定性和随机案例研究中的软性毒品流行问题
通过应用数学流行病学原理,建立了软毒品模型的表述,该确定性模型的完整动态取决于称为基本繁殖数的关键参数,表示为 \(R_{0}^{d}\)。通过考虑参数和非参数随机扰动技术,建立了随机软毒品流行模型。两种不同随机模型的动力学分别使用模拟随机阈值 \(R_0^{s_{1}}\)、\(R_0^{s_{2}}\)来确定。引入合适的 Lyapunov 函数使我们能够在确定性模型和随机模型中为软性毒品使用者的消亡和永久性建立充分的公理。此外,我们还说明了确定性和随机性阈值对模型中一些重要参数的敏感性。为了验证我们的理论结果,我们使用 Euler-Maruyama 方案进行了一些数值模拟。
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来源期刊
Pramana
Pramana 物理-物理:综合
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
7.10%
发文量
206
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: Pramana - Journal of Physics is a monthly research journal in English published by the Indian Academy of Sciences in collaboration with Indian National Science Academy and Indian Physics Association. The journal publishes refereed papers covering current research in Physics, both original contributions - research papers, brief reports or rapid communications - and invited reviews. Pramana also publishes special issues devoted to advances in specific areas of Physics and proceedings of select high quality conferences.
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