Food Web Bioaccumulation Model for Ecological Risk Assessment of Emerging Organic Pollutants in Marine Ecosystems: Principles, Advances and Challenges

Abstract

The bioaccumulation and trophic transfer of pollutants in marine ecosystem members determine their ultimate ecological risks. Food web bioaccumulation models are widely used in scientific and regulatory programs to assess the bioaccumulation and ecological risks of pollutants at the ecosystem scale. The food web models are mainly established through concentration- and fugacity-based modeling approaches and include some chemical, food web-related, physiological and environmental factors. The models applied in the “forward approach” predict bioaccumulation and conduct internal exposure level-based ecological risk assessment (IEL-ERA), whereas those in the “reverse approach” are used to back-calculate the IEL-based predicted no-effect concentrations (PNECs) or environmental criteria. However, some challenges still exist in the application of food web model integrated risk assessment, including the lack of standardized/generalized frameworks, the lack of chemical- and species-specific toxicokinetic data and internal exposure (or tissue residue)-based toxicity data, and the lack of uncertainty-control methods in model estimation and parameterization. There are urgent requirements to improve models, integrate methods and update study designs in the assessment and prediction of “system-scale risks” of marine emerging organic pollutants.