Deep learning-enhanced remote sensing-integrated crop modeling for rice yield prediction

Abstract

This study introduces a novel crop modeling approach based on cutting-edge computational tools to advance crop production monitoring methodologies, and, thereby, tackle global food security issues. Our approach pioneers integrating deep learning and remote sensing with process-based crop models to enhance rice yield predictions while leveraging the strengths and weaknesses of each model. We developed and evaluated four models based on distinct deep neural network architectures: feed-forward neural network, long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent units, and bidirectional LSTM. All the models demonstrated high predictive accuracies, with percent biases of 0.74–2.62 and Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiencies of 0.954–0.996; however, the LSTM performed best among the four models. Notably, the models' performances varied when applied to regional datasets that were not included in the training phase; this highlighted the critical need for diverse training data to enhance model robustness. This research marks a significant advancement in agricultural modeling by combining state-of-the-art computational techniques with established methodologies, setting a new standard for crop yield prediction.