Sujatha Peethani , Mahesh Pathakoti , Mahalakshmi D. V , Ahmed MS. Kheir , Apoorva Singh , Ajit Govind
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
In Morocco, drought periods have become more frequent and severe due to climate change, which has had a substantial effect on freshwater supply and agricultural output. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the influence of climatic variability were the main subjects of the current study, which made use of daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature data collected at 50 locations around the nation from 1990 to 2022. The study analysed Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) over Morocco to evaluate the impact of climate indices such as the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on drought severity. It also investigated the changes in precipitation, temperature, and extreme event-related indices. Rainfall is used as a proxy for El Nino and La Nina, supported by a negative and significant correlation between Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) and rainfall. Attempted to understand the impact of the NAO on Morocco's agricultural production, particularly during the winter months. During negative NAO phases, winter temperatures can lead to reduced wheat yields by 35–45% during the El Niño years and decreased by 4–7% during the La Niña years compared to the actual yield. Relying on the NAO plays a crucial role in modulating the precipitation patterns, which implies that crop requires adequate soil moisture with no extreme temperature during the growing season in order to produce higher yield. ENSO events can indeed lead to these extreme conditions in selected locations, potentially impacting crop yields.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics (JASTP) is an international journal concerned with the inter-disciplinary science of the Earth''s atmospheric and space environment, especially the highly varied and highly variable physical phenomena that occur in this natural laboratory and the processes that couple them.
The journal covers the physical processes operating in the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, thermosphere, ionosphere, magnetosphere, the Sun, interplanetary medium, and heliosphere. Phenomena occurring in other "spheres", solar influences on climate, and supporting laboratory measurements are also considered. The journal deals especially with the coupling between the different regions.
Solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and other energetic events on the Sun create interesting and important perturbations in the near-Earth space environment. The physics of such "space weather" is central to the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics and the journal welcomes papers that lead in the direction of a predictive understanding of the coupled system. Regarding the upper atmosphere, the subjects of aeronomy, geomagnetism and geoelectricity, auroral phenomena, radio wave propagation, and plasma instabilities, are examples within the broad field of solar-terrestrial physics which emphasise the energy exchange between the solar wind, the magnetospheric and ionospheric plasmas, and the neutral gas. In the lower atmosphere, topics covered range from mesoscale to global scale dynamics, to atmospheric electricity, lightning and its effects, and to anthropogenic changes.
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