Prescribing Agreement Improves Judgments and Decisions

IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, APPLIED Journal of Behavioral Decision Making Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI:10.1002/bdm.70004
Pavel V. Voinov, Günther Knoblich
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Abstract

We investigated whether prescribing agreement improves the quality of judgments and decisions. Participants were first asked to provide judgments or decisions individually. Then, they either revised their initial judgments and decisions based on a partners' response, or they provided a joint judgment agreed upon with their partner. In the latter condition, we allowed for a minimal communication protocol restricted to acceptance and rejection responses to each other's proposals. In the Agreement condition, participants improved both in a cognitive (Experiment 1a) and a perceptual decision task (Experiment 1b). The cognitive task agreement allowed participants to improve above the level of accuracy achieved with revision. Surprisingly, the prescribing agreement improved the quality of the initial independent decisions. In a judgment task (Experiment 2), the prescribing agreement led to more accurate judgments because partners weighed each other's judgments more equally than in the Revision condition where they gave higher weight to their own judgments. We conclude that prescribing agreement reduces egocentric discounting bias and motivates individuals to be more accurate. These results not only demonstrate that collective benefits in judgment and decision making can be accrued without verbal communication but also suggest potential limitations of this approach.

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处方协议可改进判决和决定
我们研究了规定协议是否能提高判断和决策的质量。首先要求参与者单独做出判断或决定。然后,他们要么根据伙伴的回应修改自己最初的判断和决定,要么提供与伙伴达成一致的共同判断。在后一种情况下,我们允许最低限度的交流协议,仅限于对彼此提议的接受和拒绝回应。在协议条件下,参与者在认知任务(实验 1a)和感知决策任务(实验 1b)中都有所提高。认知任务中的协议使参与者的准确率提高到了修改后的水平之上。令人惊讶的是,处方协议提高了最初独立决策的质量。在判断任务(实验 2)中,处方协议导致了更准确的判断,因为与修订条件相比,伙伴们更平等地权衡彼此的判断,而修订条件下,伙伴们更重视自己的判断。我们的结论是,规定协议减少了以自我为中心的贴现偏差,促使个体做出更准确的判断。这些结果不仅证明了在没有语言交流的情况下也能在判断和决策方面获得集体利益,而且也表明了这种方法的潜在局限性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
5.00%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: The Journal of Behavioral Decision Making is a multidisciplinary journal with a broad base of content and style. It publishes original empirical reports, critical review papers, theoretical analyses and methodological contributions. The Journal also features book, software and decision aiding technique reviews, abstracts of important articles published elsewhere and teaching suggestions. The objective of the Journal is to present and stimulate behavioral research on decision making and to provide a forum for the evaluation of complementary, contrasting and conflicting perspectives. These perspectives include psychology, management science, sociology, political science and economics. Studies of behavioral decision making in naturalistic and applied settings are encouraged.
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