Isatuximab–dexamethasone–pomalidomide combination effects on serum M protein and PFS in myeloma: Development of a joint model using phase I/II data

Abstract

This study aimed at leveraging data from phase I/II clinical trials to build a nonlinear joint model of serum M-protein kinetics and progression-free survival (PFS) accounting for the effects of isatuximab (Isa), pomalidomide (Pom), and dexamethasone (Dex) in patients with relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma. Serum M-protein levels and PFS data from 203 evaluable patients, included either in a phase I/II study (n = 173) or in a phase I study (n = 30), were used to build the model. First, we independently developed a longitudinal model and a PFS model. Then, we linked them in a nonlinear joint model by selecting the link function that best captured the association between serum M-protein kinetics and PFS. A Claret tumor growth-inhibition model accounting for the additive effects of Isa, with an E_max function, Pom, and Dex on serum M-protein elimination was selected to describe serum M-protein kinetics. PFS was best described with a log-logistic model and associations with baseline beta-2 microglobulin level, age, and coadministration of Dex were identified. The instantaneous change in serum M-protein level was found to be associated with PFS in the final joint model. Using model simulations, we retrospectively supported the Isa 10 mg/kg weekly for 4 weeks, then biweekly (QW/Q2W) dosing regimen of the ICARIA-MM phase III pivotal study, and validated it using the same phase III pivotal study data.