Differentiated Impacts of Central and Eastern Atlantic Niño on Hurricane Activity in the Tropical North Atlantic

IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2024-12-17 DOI:10.1029/2024gl112178
Haili Wang, Chunzai Wang, Lei Zhang
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Abstract

Recent research highlights the influence of the Atlantic Niño on the likelihood of strong hurricanes forming in the tropical Atlantic. This phenomenon increases the risk of hurricanes impacting the Caribbean islands and the United States. A recent study identifies two distinct types of the Atlantic Niño, with warming concentrated in the central (CA) and eastern (EA) equatorial Atlantic, respectively. By analyzing observational and reanalysis data, we investigated how these two types of the Atlantic Niño affect hurricane activity. The findings reveal that the CA Niño enhances hurricane frequency south of 20°N, while the CA Niña promotes hurricanes north of 20°N. The CA Niño exerts a more significant influence on hurricanes than the EA Niño, primarily by affecting wind shear, relative vorticity, and vertical velocity. In contrast, the EA Niño mainly impacts relative humidity and African Easterly Waves. These insights could improve the accuracy of seasonal hurricane forecasts.
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大西洋中部和东部厄尔尼诺现象对北大西洋热带地区飓风活动的不同影响
最近的研究强调了大西洋厄尔尼诺现象对热带大西洋形成强飓风可能性的影响。这一现象增加了飓风影响加勒比群岛和美国的风险。最近的一项研究确定了两种不同类型的大西洋尼诺现象,变暖分别集中在赤道大西洋中部(CA)和东部(EA)。通过分析观测数据和再分析数据,我们研究了这两种类型的大西洋尼诺现象对飓风活动的影响。研究结果表明,CA 尼诺现象会增加北纬 20 度以南的飓风活动频率,而 CA 尼娜现象则会促进北纬 20 度以北的飓风活动。CA 尼诺现象对飓风的影响比 EA 尼诺现象更明显,主要是通过影响风切变、相对涡度和垂直速度。相比之下,EA 尼诺主要影响相对湿度和非洲东风波。这些见解可以提高季节性飓风预报的准确性。
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来源期刊
Geophysical Research Letters
Geophysical Research Letters 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
9.00
自引率
9.60%
发文量
1588
审稿时长
2.2 months
期刊介绍: Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) publishes high-impact, innovative, and timely research on major scientific advances in all the major geoscience disciplines. Papers are communications-length articles and should have broad and immediate implications in their discipline or across the geosciences. GRLmaintains the fastest turn-around of all high-impact publications in the geosciences and works closely with authors to ensure broad visibility of top papers.
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