The Impact of Economic Growth Targets on Environmental Pollution: A Study From Chinese Cities

IF 2.9 3区经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Growth and Change Pub Date : 2024-12-15 DOI:10.1111/grow.70014

Yicheng Zhou, Zihan Zhang, Boqiang Lin

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Abstract

China's economic growth target (EGT) embodies the typical characteristics of extensive development model. Based on the panel data of Chinese cities from 2004 to 2019, this paper examines the impact of EGT on pollution emissions. The results show that China's EGT has significantly increased environmental pollution. Especially before 2013, in order to speed up economic growth and cope with the pressure of the financial crisis, various regions tend to set higher EGT, leading to the aggravation of environmental pollution. After 2013, the promoting effect of EGT on environmental pollution is significantly weakened. Urban heterogeneity analysis shows that the impact of EGT on environmental pollution is different in different cities. The promotion effect of the EGT on environmental pollution is more evident in the western, northeastern, non-administrative center and resource-based cities. The industrial structure, technical intensity of industry and effective allocation of production factors are important influencing channels for EGT to affect environmental pollution. Therefore, properly handling the contradiction between economic growth pressure and environmental governance is the key to China's sustainable economic development.

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经济增长目标对环境污染的影响——基于中国城市的研究

中国的经济增长目标体现了粗放型发展模式的典型特征。基于2004 - 2019年中国城市面板数据，研究了EGT对污染排放的影响。结果表明，中国的EGT显著增加了环境污染。特别是在2013年之前，为了加快经济增长，应对金融危机的压力，各地往往设定较高的EGT，导致环境污染加剧。2013年以后，EGT对环境污染的促进作用明显减弱。城市异质性分析表明，EGT对环境污染的影响在不同城市存在差异。在西部、东北、非行政性中心城市和资源型城市中，科技转移对环境污染的促进作用更为明显。产业结构、产业技术强度和生产要素的有效配置是EGT影响环境污染的重要影响渠道。因此，处理好经济增长压力与环境治理之间的矛盾是中国经济可持续发展的关键。

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来源期刊

Growth and Change Multiple-

CiteScore

6.40

自引率

3.10%

发文量

期刊介绍： Growth and Change is a broadly based forum for scholarly research on all aspects of urban and regional development and policy-making. Interdisciplinary in scope, the journal publishes both empirical and theoretical contributions from economics, geography, public finance, urban and regional planning, agricultural economics, public policy, and related fields. These include full-length research articles, Perspectives (contemporary assessments and views on significant issues in urban and regional development) as well as critical book reviews.