Evaluation of a Risk Screening Tool for Retinopathy of Prematurity (ROP) in a German Cohort.

IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 OPHTHALMOLOGY Ophthalmic epidemiology Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI:10.1080/09286586.2024.2399346
N Butt, P Chlad, A Bläser, F Pulzer, U H Thome, B W Ackermann
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Abstract

Purpose: To assess the efficacy of the DIGIROP-Birth algorithm in identifying infants at risk for developing retinopathy of prematurity (ROP).

Methods: In a retrospective study, we included preterm infants over 11 years, 2010-2020, meeting the inclusion criteria for the DIGIROP-Birth calculator (24 + 0/7 to 30 + 6/7 weeks of gestational age). We assessed the validity of DIGIROP-Birth using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calculated area-under-curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values.

Results: 897 infants were included in the analysis. The median age of the first ophthalmological examination was 40 days (IQR 32-50), the median gestational age was 198 days (IQR 185-209; corresponding to 28 + 2/7 gestational weeks), median birth weight was 1000 g (IQR 790-1300). Of 897 screened children, 458 (51.1%) were diagnosed with ROP, and 34 of 897 (3.8%) required treatment.Analysis of ROP requiring treatment predicted by DIGIROP showed an AUC of 0.860 [95%-CI 0.795-0.925]. An equilibrium of sensitivity and specificity existed at a probability of 4.12%. The positive predictive value was 10.95%, and the negative predictive value was 99.36%. Independent significant peri- and postnatal risk factors were emergency cesarean section and mass blood transfusions.

Conclusions: The DIGIROP-Birth calculator showed good predictive power in our studied population, with an incidence of 3.79% for therapy-requiring ROP. Peri- and postnatal risk factors should be included in ROP screening.

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来源期刊
Ophthalmic epidemiology
Ophthalmic epidemiology 医学-眼科学
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
5.60%
发文量
61
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Ophthalmic Epidemiology is dedicated to the publication of original research into eye and vision health in the fields of epidemiology, public health and the prevention of blindness. Ophthalmic Epidemiology publishes editorials, original research reports, systematic reviews and meta-analysis articles, brief communications and letters to the editor on all subjects related to ophthalmic epidemiology. A broad range of topics is suitable, such as: evaluating the risk of ocular diseases, general and specific study designs, screening program implementation and evaluation, eye health care access, delivery and outcomes, therapeutic efficacy or effectiveness, disease prognosis and quality of life, cost-benefit analysis, biostatistical theory and risk factor analysis. We are looking to expand our engagement with reports of international interest, including those regarding problems affecting developing countries, although reports from all over the world potentially are suitable. Clinical case reports, small case series (not enough for a cohort analysis) articles and animal research reports are not appropriate for this journal.
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