Unraveling the roles of jet streams on the unprecedented hot July in Western Europe in 2022

IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-12-24 DOI:10.1038/s41612-024-00880-2
Xinhui Li, Jiayu Zheng, Chunzai Wang, Xiayan Lin, Zhixiong Yao
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Abstract

Western Europe experienced an unprecedentedly hot July in 2022, which significantly impacted ecosystems and society. Our observational and numerical modeling study reveals that this event was influenced by anomalous North Atlantic and Eurasian jet streams. The northeastward shift of the North Atlantic jet stream, driven by sea surface temperature gradients, and the curving of the Eurasian jet stream, affected by rainfall anomalies in Pakistan, enhanced atmospheric subsidence over western Europe. This research highlights the crucial role of the synergistic behavior of the North Atlantic and Eurasian jet streams in driving extreme heat over Western Europe. Furthermore, CMIP6 climate model projections suggest that under the SSP585 scenario, similar jet stream configurations could lead to even more intense extreme temperatures (~7.02 ± 0.61 °C) compared to the current climatological mean.

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2022年,西欧出现了前所未有的7月高温,揭示了急流的作用
2022年7月,西欧经历了前所未有的炎热天气,对生态系统和社会造成了重大影响。我们的观测和数值模拟研究表明,这次事件受到北大西洋和欧亚大陆异常急流的影响。受海面温度梯度驱动的北大西洋急流的东北移,以及受巴基斯坦降水异常影响的欧亚急流的弯曲,增强了西欧上空的大气沉降。这项研究强调了北大西洋和欧亚急流的协同行为在驱动西欧极端高温中的关键作用。此外,CMIP6气候模式预估表明,在SSP585情景下,类似的急流配置可能导致比当前气候平均值更强烈的极端温度(~7.02±0.61°C)。
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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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