Resilient gas dependency-based planning of electricity distribution systems considering energy storage systems.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-12-26 DOI:10.1111/risa.17695
Mostafa Ghasemi, Mohammad Amin Gilani, Mohammad Hassan Amirioun
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Abstract

This article presents a planning framework to improve the weather-related resilience of natural gas-dependent electricity distribution systems. The problem is formulated as a two-stage stochastic mixed integer linear programing model. In the first stage, the measures for distribution line hardening, gas-fired distributed generation (DG) placement, electrical energy storage resource allocation, and tie-switch placement are determined. The second stage minimizes the electricity distribution system load shedding in realized hurricanes to achieve a compromise between operational benefits and investment costs when the dependence of electricity distribution system on the natural gas exists. The proposed stochastic model considers random failures of electricity distribution system lines and random errors in forecasting the load demand. The Monte Carlo simulation is employed to generate multiple scenarios for defining the uncertainties of electricity distribution system. For the sake of simplicity, weather-related outages of natural gas pipelines are considered deterministic. The nonlinear natural gas constraints are linearized and incorporated into the stochastic optimization model. The proposed framework was successfully implemented on an interconnected energy system composed of a 33-bus electricity distribution system and a 14-node natural gas distribution network. Numerical results of the defined case studies and a devised comparative study validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework as well.

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考虑储能系统的配电系统弹性燃气依赖规划。
本文提出了一个规划框架,以提高依赖天然气的配电系统的天气相关弹性。将该问题表述为一个两阶段随机混合整数线性规划模型。第一阶段确定配电线路硬化、燃气分布式发电(DG)布置、电能储能资源配置、配线开关布置等措施。第二阶段最大限度地减少已实现的飓风中配电系统的负荷减少,以在配电系统依赖天然气的情况下实现运行效益和投资成本之间的折衷。提出的随机模型考虑了配电系统线路的随机故障和负荷需求预测的随机误差。采用蒙特卡罗仿真方法,生成了多个场景来定义配电系统的不确定性。为简单起见,与天气有关的天然气管道中断被认为是确定性的。将非线性天然气约束线性化并纳入随机优化模型。该框架已在一个由33总线配电系统和14节点天然气配电网络组成的互联能源系统上成功实施。定义的案例研究和设计的比较研究的数值结果也验证了所提出框架的有效性。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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