The Longitudinal-Experimental Design and the Development and Prevention of Criminal Offending Over the Life-Course: Advances in Science and Policy From the Cambridge-Somerville Youth Study.

IF 1.1 4区医学 Q3 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI:10.1002/cbm.2369

Brandon C Welsh

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Abstract

Background: David Farrington (1944-2024) wrote extensively about the methodological rigour and utility of the longitudinal-experimental research design to advance knowledge about the development, explanation, prevention and treatment of antisocial behaviour and criminal offending over the life-course. Founded in 1935, the Cambridge-Somerville Youth Study (CSYS) is recognised as the first randomised controlled trial in criminology and the first longitudinal-experimental study in criminology.

Aims: To report on key scientific and policy contributions made by the CSYS in investigating the development and prevention of delinquency and criminal offending over the life-course.

Methods: Uses previously analysed observational and experimental data from follow-ups of study participants conducted in middle age (N = 494; mean = 47 years) and old age (N = 488; 84-92 years).

Results: Identified several parental socialisation practices and interactions during childhood (but not father absence) as strongly associated with serious criminal offending in middle age. Support for peer deviancy as a causal mechanism for iatrogenic effects among treatment groups, compared to pair-matched controls, during middle age drew policy attention to group-based prevention interventions.

Conclusions: The longitudinal-experimental design is a highly important yet under-utilised methodological approach in criminology. Future research should include revisiting the original plan for the design, addressing a key potential concern of the design and carrying out longer follow-ups at key stages of the life-course.

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纵向实验设计与终身犯罪的发展和预防：来自剑桥-萨默维尔青年研究的科学和政策进展。

背景：David Farrington（1944-2024）撰写了大量关于纵向实验研究设计方法的严谨性和实用性的文章，以促进有关反社会行为和犯罪在生命过程中的发展、解释、预防和治疗的知识。剑桥-萨默维尔青年研究（CSYS）成立于1935年，被认为是犯罪学领域的第一个随机对照试验，也是犯罪学领域的第一个纵向实验研究。目的：报告CSYS在调查青少年一生中犯罪和刑事犯罪的发展和预防方面的重要科学和政策贡献。方法：使用先前分析的观察和实验数据，这些数据来自中年研究参与者的随访(N = 494；平均= 47岁)和老年(N = 488；84 - 92年)。结果：确定了童年时期父母的一些社会化实践和互动（但不是父亲缺席）与中年时的严重犯罪行为密切相关。与配对对照组相比，支持同伴偏差作为治疗组中医源性效应的因果机制，在中年期间引起了政策对基于群体的预防干预的关注。结论：纵向实验设计在犯罪学中是一种非常重要但尚未得到充分利用的方法。未来的研究应包括重新审视设计的原始计划，解决设计的关键潜在问题，并在生命历程的关键阶段进行更长时间的随访。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health Multiple-

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1.60

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0.00%

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期刊介绍： Criminal Behaviour & Mental Health – CBMH – aims to publish original material on any aspect of the relationship between mental state and criminal behaviour. Thus, we are interested in mental mechanisms associated with offending, regardless of whether the individual concerned has a mental disorder or not. We are interested in factors that influence such relationships, and particularly welcome studies about pathways into and out of crime. These will include studies of normal and abnormal development, of mental disorder and how that may lead to offending for a subgroup of sufferers, together with information about factors which mediate such a relationship.