Excessive equatorial light rain causes modeling dry bias of Indian summer monsoon rainfall

IF 8.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI:10.1038/s41612-025-00916-1
Gudongze Li, Chun Zhao, Jun Gu, Jiawang Feng, Mingyue Xu, Xiaoyu Hao, Junshi Chen, Hong An, Wenju Cai, Tao Geng
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Abstract

Simulating accurately the South Asian summer monsoon is crucial for food security of several South Asian countries yet challenging for global climate models (GCMs). The GCMs suffer from some systematic biases including dry bias in mean monsoon rainfall over the India subcontinent and excessive equatorial light rain between which the relationship was rarely discussed. Numerical experiments are conducted for one month during active monsoon with global quasi-uniform resolution of 60 km (U60 km) and 3 km (U3 km) separately. Evaluation with observations shows that U3 km reduces the dry bias over northern India and excessive light rain over the equatorial Indian Ocean (EIO) that are both prominent in U60 km. Excessive light rain in U60 km contributes critically to stronger rainfall and latent heating over the EIO. A Hadley-type anomalous circulation is thus induced, whose subsidence branch suppresses updrafts and reduces moisture transport into northern India, contributing to the dry bias. The findings highlight the importance of constraining excessive light rain for regional climate projection in GCMs.

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赤道小雨过多导致印度夏季季风降水的模拟干偏
准确模拟南亚夏季风对一些南亚国家的粮食安全至关重要,但对全球气候模式(GCMs)却具有挑战性。gcm存在一些系统偏差,包括印度次大陆季风平均降雨量的干燥偏差和赤道小雨过多,两者之间的关系很少被讨论。在季风活跃期进行了为期一个月的数值试验,全球准均匀分辨率分别为60 km (U60 km)和3 km (U3 km)。观测资料评估表明,U3 km减少了印度北部的干偏和赤道印度洋(EIO)的过度小雨,这两者在U60 km中都很突出。U60公里范围内的过量小雨对影响东热带的强降雨和潜热有重要影响。哈德利型异常环流由此产生,其下沉分支抑制上升气流,减少水汽输送到印度北部,造成干燥偏压。这些发现强调了在gcm中限制过度小雨对区域气候预测的重要性。
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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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