Evaluating the ability of fullPIERS calculator to predict adverse maternal outcomes in pre-eclampsia at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital

IF 2.4 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI:10.1002/ijgo.16181
Thomas Matonhodze, Robert Nyakoe
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Abstract

Objective

To evaluate the ability of the fullPIERS model to predict adverse maternal outcomes in patients diagnosed as early-onset pre-eclampsia at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital, South Africa.

Methods

Retrospective record review and analysis of 134 patients admitted with early-onset pre-eclampsia. Demographic data, symptoms, and investigation results relevant to the fullPIERS calculator present on admission were collected. Adverse maternal outcomes occurring before the end of 7 days from admission were recorded. Descriptive analysis was conducted, χ2 and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used to evaluate the association between fullPIERS parameters, score, and adverse outcomes. Performance of fullPIERS score was evaluated by positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operating curve analysis.

Results

The median age was 34 years (interquartile range [IQR] 28–37 years). A total of 131 deliveries were recorded at a median gestation of 31 weeks (IQR 29–33 weeks). Most deliveries (71; 54.2%) were due to fetal indications and 102 (77.9%) were by cesarean section. A total of 20 (15.1%) patients had adverse maternal outcomes. Three (2.6%) neonates were delivered with Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes and were all admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit. FullPIERS formula predicted adverse maternal outcomes with positive and negative predictive values of 100% and 94.9%, respectively, and sensitivity and specificity of 70% and 100%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.88 (95% confidence interval 0.75–0.95), which shows good discrimination.

Conclusion

FullPIERS model is a useful adjunct in identifying patients at high risk of adverse outcomes from early-onset pre-eclampsia; this allows timely and appropriate management.

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评估fullPIERS计算器预测Charlotte Maxeke约翰内斯堡学术医院子痫前期产妇不良结局的能力
目的:评估fullPIERS模型对南非约翰内斯堡夏洛特麦克科学术医院诊断为早发性先兆子痫患者不良孕产结局的预测能力。方法:回顾性分析134例早发性先兆子痫患者的资料。收集入院时与fullPIERS计算器相关的人口统计数据、症状和调查结果。记录入院后7天内发生的孕产妇不良结局。进行描述性分析,采用χ2和Wilcoxon秩和检验评估fullPIERS参数、评分和不良结局之间的关系。通过阳性和阴性预测值、敏感性、特异性和受试者工作曲线分析来评估fullPIERS评分的性能。结果:中位年龄34岁(四分位数间距[IQR] 28 ~ 37岁)。共记录131例分娩,中位妊娠31周(IQR 29-33周)。大多数交付(71;54.2%)为胎儿指征所致,剖宫产所致102例(77.9%)。共有20例(15.1%)患者出现不良孕产结局。3例(2.6%)新生儿在5分钟时Apgar评分低于7分,均被送入新生儿重症监护病房。FullPIERS公式预测产妇不良结局的阳性预测值为100%,阴性预测值为94.9%,敏感性和特异性分别为70%和100%。受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.88(95%置信区间为0.75 ~ 0.95),具有较好的鉴别效果。结论:FullPIERS模型是识别早发性子痫前期不良结局高风险患者的有效辅助手段;这允许及时和适当的管理。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
2.60%
发文量
493
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Gynecology & Obstetrics publishes articles on all aspects of basic and clinical research in the fields of obstetrics and gynecology and related subjects, with emphasis on matters of worldwide interest.
期刊最新文献
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