Africa's international trade paradox, technology transfer, and value chain upgrade

IF 13.3 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-04 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124014
Abdoulkadre Ado , Ellis L.C. Osabutey , Paresha Sinha , Ogechi Adeola
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Abstract

This study examines the paradoxes in trade and global value chain (GVC) in Africa.
Firstly, we analyzed international trade statistics of selected countries to highlight paradoxes in resource endowments, exports, and imports. We found contrasts between Africa's development potential and its current reality in trade and value capture.
Secondly, we analyzed the content of reports focused on GVC challenges in four countries. We found that the reports predominantly focused on identifying issues in GVC upgrading in Africa rather than proposing solutions. These challenges, faced by developing economies in critical sectors, were categorized across four dimensions identified in the literature: technological capabilities, firms, government intervention, and joint ventures (JVs).
Thirdly, we analyzed how to address these GVC upgrade challenges by using interviews from successful GVC upgrade cases in two additional countries. We applied four theoretical dimensions to categorize actions that successfully facilitated GVC upgrading. We found that of all the success factors, government intervention—acting as a shareholder, producer, regulator, and negotiator—was the most critical for successful GVC upgrading. Actions by the state, such as a well-organized early upgrade plan, coercive local expectations toward foreign firms, a winning negotiation approach, and concise JV agreements, were instrumental in these successes.
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非洲国际贸易悖论、技术转移与价值链升级
本研究考察了非洲贸易和全球价值链(GVC)中的悖论。首先,我们分析了选定国家的国际贸易统计数据,以突出资源禀赋、出口和进口方面的矛盾。我们发现非洲的发展潜力与其目前在贸易和价值获取方面的现实存在反差。其次,我们分析了四个国家关于全球价值链挑战的报告内容。我们发现,这些报告主要侧重于确定非洲全球价值链升级中的问题,而不是提出解决方案。发展中经济体在关键领域面临的这些挑战,在文献中被分为四个维度:技术能力、企业、政府干预和合资企业(JVs)。第三,我们通过对另外两个国家的全球价值链升级成功案例的访谈,分析了如何应对这些挑战。我们运用四个理论维度对成功促进全球价值链升级的行动进行分类。我们发现,在所有成功因素中,政府干预——作为股东、生产者、监管者和谈判者——是全球价值链成功升级的最关键因素。国家的行动,如组织良好的早期升级计划、当地对外国公司的强制性期望、获胜的谈判方式以及简洁的合资协议,都是这些成功的关键。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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