{"title":"Does free pre-kindergarten increase birth rates? Preliminary evidence from Vermont","authors":"Masanori Kuroki","doi":"10.1016/j.rie.2025.101040","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the impact of Vermont's Act 166 of 2014, which established universal pre-kindergarten, on birth rates among women aged 20–44. Contrary to the expectation of increased fertility, no meaningful increase in total, first, or subsequent birth rates was observed after program implementation. This aligns with existing research suggesting limited effectiveness of pronatalist policies. However, subsequent birth rates in Vermont declined at a slower rate than first birth rates compared to a synthetic control group, hinting at a potential positive influence on existing parents' decisions to have additional children.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46094,"journal":{"name":"Research in Economics","volume":"79 1","pages":"Article 101040"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Research in Economics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1090944325000171","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of Vermont's Act 166 of 2014, which established universal pre-kindergarten, on birth rates among women aged 20–44. Contrary to the expectation of increased fertility, no meaningful increase in total, first, or subsequent birth rates was observed after program implementation. This aligns with existing research suggesting limited effectiveness of pronatalist policies. However, subsequent birth rates in Vermont declined at a slower rate than first birth rates compared to a synthetic control group, hinting at a potential positive influence on existing parents' decisions to have additional children.
期刊介绍:
Established in 1947, Research in Economics is one of the oldest general-interest economics journals in the world and the main one among those based in Italy. The purpose of the journal is to select original theoretical and empirical articles that will have high impact on the debate in the social sciences; since 1947, it has published important research contributions on a wide range of topics. A summary of our editorial policy is this: the editors make a preliminary assessment of whether the results of a paper, if correct, are worth publishing. If so one of the associate editors reviews the paper: from the reviewer we expect to learn if the paper is understandable and coherent and - within reasonable bounds - the results are correct. We believe that long lags in publication and multiple demands for revision simply slow scientific progress. Our goal is to provide you a definitive answer within one month of submission. We give the editors one week to judge the overall contribution and if acceptable send your paper to an associate editor. We expect the associate editor to provide a more detailed evaluation within three weeks so that the editors can make a final decision before the month expires. In the (rare) case of a revision we allow four months and in the case of conditional acceptance we allow two months to submit the final version. In both cases we expect a cover letter explaining how you met the requirements. For conditional acceptance the editors will verify that the requirements were met. In the case of revision the original associate editor will do so. If the revision cannot be at least conditionally accepted it is rejected: there is no second revision.