Investment accelerations

IF 5.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Structural Change and Economic Dynamics Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI:10.1016/j.strueco.2025.01.007
Jakob de Haan , Kersten Stamm , Shu Yu
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Abstract

Following earlier studies on accelerations of output and the capital stock growth, we propose an adjusted method to identify accelerations in investment. The method ensures that the identified episodes are characterized by sustained increases in per capita investment growth to a relatively high rate. We identify 192 investment accelerations in 93 economies (34 advanced economies and 59 emerging and developing economies) over 1950–2022. Output growth is about 2 percentage points higher during investment accelerations than in other years. Our evidence also suggests that economic policy reform and institutional quality are positively associated with the likelihood that such an acceleration occurs.
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投资加速度
根据早期关于产出加速和资本存量增长的研究,我们提出了一种调整后的方法来识别投资加速。该方法确保确定的事件的特点是人均投资增长持续增加到一个相对较高的速度。我们发现,在1950-2022年期间,93个经济体(34个发达经济体和59个新兴和发展中经济体)出现了192次投资加速。在投资加速期间,产出增长率比其他年份高出约2个百分点。我们的证据还表明,经济政策改革和制度质量与这种加速发生的可能性呈正相关。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
4.90%
发文量
159
期刊介绍: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics publishes articles about theoretical, applied and methodological aspects of structural change in economic systems. The journal publishes work analysing dynamics and structural breaks in economic, technological, behavioural and institutional patterns.
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