The impact of industrial structural transformation in the Yangtze River economic belt on the trade-offs and synergies between urbanization and carbon balance

IF 7 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Ecological Indicators Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113165

Ran Wu , Gang Yu , Yimo Cao

{"title":"The impact of industrial structural transformation in the Yangtze River economic belt on the trade-offs and synergies between urbanization and carbon balance","authors":"Ran Wu , Gang Yu , Yimo Cao","doi":"10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113165","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Promoting carbon balance in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is a crucial step in China’s pursuit of carbon neutrality, with industrial structural transformation serving as a vital pathway toward this goal. This paper employs the GeoShapley model and the spatial Durbin model to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of the trade-offs and synergies between urbanization and carbon balance in 1028 county-level units of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2021, as well as the impact of industrial structural transformation on these relationships. The results reveal the following: (1) the spatial distribution pattern of trade-off and synergy remained largely unchanged between 2011 and 2021, but there was an overall shift from synergy to trade-off. (2) In the overall regression results, the industrial greening index exhibits opposing effects on local regions and their surroundings, while the industrial upgrading index suppresses development in surrounding areas. (3) In the regional regression results, the industrial greening index shows contrasting effects on the downstream and upstream regions, with a suppressive effect on surrounding areas occurring only in the downstream region. The industrial upgrading index inhibits development in both the downstream and midstream regions, while the industrial rationalization index exerts a suppressive effect exclusively in the downstream region.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11459,"journal":{"name":"Ecological Indicators","volume":"171 ","pages":"Article 113165"},"PeriodicalIF":7.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ecological Indicators","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X25000949","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Promoting carbon balance in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is a crucial step in China’s pursuit of carbon neutrality, with industrial structural transformation serving as a vital pathway toward this goal. This paper employs the GeoShapley model and the spatial Durbin model to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of the trade-offs and synergies between urbanization and carbon balance in 1028 county-level units of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2021, as well as the impact of industrial structural transformation on these relationships. The results reveal the following: (1) the spatial distribution pattern of trade-off and synergy remained largely unchanged between 2011 and 2021, but there was an overall shift from synergy to trade-off. (2) In the overall regression results, the industrial greening index exhibits opposing effects on local regions and their surroundings, while the industrial upgrading index suppresses development in surrounding areas. (3) In the regional regression results, the industrial greening index shows contrasting effects on the downstream and upstream regions, with a suppressive effect on surrounding areas occurring only in the downstream region. The industrial upgrading index inhibits development in both the downstream and midstream regions, while the industrial rationalization index exerts a suppressive effect exclusively in the downstream region.

查看原文

微信好友朋友圈 QQ好友复制链接

本刊更多论文

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文去求助

来源期刊

Ecological Indicators 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

11.80

自引率

8.70%

发文量

1163

审稿时长

78 days

期刊介绍： The ultimate aim of Ecological Indicators is to integrate the monitoring and assessment of ecological and environmental indicators with management practices. The journal provides a forum for the discussion of the applied scientific development and review of traditional indicator approaches as well as for theoretical, modelling and quantitative applications such as index development. Research into the following areas will be published. • All aspects of ecological and environmental indicators and indices. • New indicators, and new approaches and methods for indicator development, testing and use. • Development and modelling of indices, e.g. application of indicator suites across multiple scales and resources. • Analysis and research of resource, system- and scale-specific indicators. • Methods for integration of social and other valuation metrics for the production of scientifically rigorous and politically-relevant assessments using indicator-based monitoring and assessment programs. • How research indicators can be transformed into direct application for management purposes. • Broader assessment objectives and methods, e.g. biodiversity, biological integrity, and sustainability, through the use of indicators. • Resource-specific indicators such as landscape, agroecosystems, forests, wetlands, etc.