The impact of multiple emission reduction policies: Evidence from the coexistence of carbon emission trading system and white certificate

IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107027
Lei Zhu , Junqi Liu , Xin Liu , Pengfei Liu
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Abstract

The rapid expansion of the carbon emission trading system (ETS) has sparked discussion over the necessity of existing policy instruments in reducing carbon emissions. This paper investigates the impacts of environmental regulations where the ETS and white certificate (WhC) policies may coexist. We develop a theoretical framework for investigating the interactions among industry sectors under various ETS and WhC policies, including strategic options where only one policy is effective. We show that the combination of ETS and WhC results in increased total energy savings but decreased production compared to when only ETS is available. Using the case study of two energy-intensive sectors in China, our numerical simulations reveal that when carbon prices are sufficiently high (above 50 yuan, or $7.18 per ton), both sectors will opt to participate in the ETS, making the WhC market dormant. However, when the marginal emission damage exceeds 400 yuan (or $ 54.45) per ton, the WhC market may lead to a higher social surplus than the ETS-only scenario by encouraging more valuable emission reductions.
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多重减排政策的影响:来自碳排放权交易制度与白色证书并存的证据
碳排放交易体系(ETS)的迅速扩张引发了对现有政策工具在减少碳排放方面必要性的讨论。本文研究了碳排放交易体系和白证书政策共存的环境法规的影响。我们开发了一个理论框架,用于研究在各种碳排放交易体系和温室气体排放政策下的行业部门之间的相互作用,包括只有一项政策有效的战略选择。我们表明,与单独使用碳排放体系相比,碳排放体系和碳排放体系的结合增加了总能源节约,但降低了产量。通过对中国两个能源密集型行业的案例研究,我们的数值模拟表明,当碳价格足够高(高于50元/吨,或7.18美元/吨)时,这两个行业都将选择参与碳排放交易体系,从而使碳排放市场处于休眠状态。然而,当边际排放损失超过每吨400元(或54.45美元)时,碳排放交易市场可能会鼓励更多有价值的减排,从而导致比单一碳排放交易方案更高的社会剩余。
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来源期刊
Economic Modelling
Economic Modelling ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
10.60%
发文量
295
期刊介绍: Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.
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