Perception of Democracy and Women's Desire to Emigrate: Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa

IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES African Development Review-Revue Africaine De Developpement Pub Date : 2025-02-12 DOI:10.1111/1467-8268.70003
Sem I-dé Dringa, Nadege Ngah Otabela, Patrick Marie Nga Ndjobo
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Abstract

Perceptions of democracy remain an important determinant of people's migration choices in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using cross-sectional data on 42,224 individuals, 21,137 of whom were women, from 31 Sub-Saharan African countries, this study examines the effect of women's perceptions of democracy on their desire to emigrate. The seemingly unrelated (SUR) bivariate probit method was used to analyze the data. This approach is used to deal with the potential endogeneity bias that arises when the dependent variable and the independent variable of interest are both endogenous and binary. The main finding of this study is that the more positive women's perceptions of democracy are, the less likely they are to want to emigrate. However, young women, educated women, and women who have experienced gender discrimination are more likely to want to emigrate. Consequently, Sub-Saharan African countries need to strengthen the democratization process by ensuring the effective independence of democratic institutions, the separation of powers, and the protection of human rights. This would encourage women to remain in their countries of origin and contribute to a better understanding of the political sources of migration.

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民主观念与妇女移民意愿:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
对民主的看法仍然是撒哈拉以南非洲人民移民选择的重要决定因素。这项研究使用了来自31个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的42224个人的横断面数据,其中21137人是女性,研究了女性对民主的看法对她们移民意愿的影响。采用看似不相关(SUR)二元概率法对数据进行分析。这种方法用于处理潜在的内生性偏差,当感兴趣的因变量和自变量都是内生的和二元的。这项研究的主要发现是,女性对民主的看法越积极,她们想移民的可能性就越小。然而,年轻女性、受过教育的女性和经历过性别歧视的女性更有可能想要移民。因此,撒哈拉以南非洲国家需要通过确保民主机构的有效独立、权力分立和保护人权来加强民主化进程。这将鼓励妇女留在原籍国,并有助于更好地了解移徙的政治根源。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
24.10%
发文量
60
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