Rapid seismic damage assessment of building portfolio based on fusion of surrogate model and monitored data

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-02-11 DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105293
Guoqing Zhang , Kun Liu , Weiping Wen , Changhai Zhai , Chenyu Zhang , Bochang Zhou
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Abstract

Accurate and rapid estimation of regional seismic damage is vital for urban planning, scientific disaster preparedness, and emergency response. However, existing methods face challenges in quickly and accurately obtaining the linear and nonlinear parameters of regional building portfolios with limited building information, making it difficult to realize accurate and rapid regional structural damage assessments. This paper proposes a data fusion method that uses surrogate model and monitored data of building portfolios to rapidly acquire both linear and nonlinear parameters under conditions of limited building information, thereby enabling accurate and rapid assessment of regional seismic damage. To accelerate structural response calculations, the best surrogate model was obtained by comparing three Machine Learning (ML) algorithms tuned by the Bayesian Optimization (BO) algorithm. Predicted responses by the surrogate model, and monitored responses were then fused using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and parallel computing to inverse the structural parameters. Finally, the target ground motions and the obtained structural parameters were input into the surrogate model for regional seismic damage assessment. To validate the proposed method, two cases with different sources of monitored data were presented. The results show that the errors between the predicted and actual values in structural damage state proportions under new ground motions for both two cases are within 5 % and the structural parameters closely match the actual situations. Additionally, the regional data fusions for various scales of building portfolios were conducted. The calculation speed improved by at least 5880 times faster compared to existing methods for different scales of building portfolios, demonstrating the capability of the proposed method to rapidly assess large-scale building portfolios.

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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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