{"title":"The effect of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in Türkiye","authors":"Nico Oefele, Dirk G. Baur, Lee A. Smales","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101264","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study is the first to systematically examine the impact of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in an emerging market, using Turkish lira-denominated crypto trading volume as a proxy. Our findings highlight the dominance of a single exchange and the sustained growth of stablecoin trading. Daily trading volume is largely driven by global crypto market capitalization. However, we find no systematic link between trading volume and significant lira depreciations, inflation shocks, or policy rate changes. Contrary to policymakers' concerns about domestic currency substitution with crypto assets, our results suggest only weak, short-lived evidence related to currency risk in Türkiye.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"65 ","pages":"Article 101264"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Emerging Markets Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1566014125000135","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
This study is the first to systematically examine the impact of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in an emerging market, using Turkish lira-denominated crypto trading volume as a proxy. Our findings highlight the dominance of a single exchange and the sustained growth of stablecoin trading. Daily trading volume is largely driven by global crypto market capitalization. However, we find no systematic link between trading volume and significant lira depreciations, inflation shocks, or policy rate changes. Contrary to policymakers' concerns about domestic currency substitution with crypto assets, our results suggest only weak, short-lived evidence related to currency risk in Türkiye.
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The intent of the editors is to consolidate Emerging Markets Review as the premier vehicle for publishing high impact empirical and theoretical studies in emerging markets finance. Preference will be given to comparative studies that take global and regional perspectives, detailed single country studies that address critical policy issues and have significant global and regional implications, and papers that address the interactions of national and international financial architecture. We especially welcome papers that take institutional as well as financial perspectives.
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