Economic Nexus among the Belt and Road Initiative participating countries

IF 3.9 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE North American Journal of Economics and Finance Pub Date : 2025-02-18 DOI:10.1016/j.najef.2025.102403
Yiguo Chen , Peng Luo , Tsangyao Chang
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Abstract

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) cooperation has created closer economic and trade relations over the past decade. This study analyzes the economic interconnectivity between BRI-participating countries and highlights key findings. The economic links between partner countries have experienced rapid and slow growth, with high connectivity levels. Macroeconomic downturns increase economic connections between countries, with a negative contagion index being higher than a positive. Land-based Silk Road countries have higher connectivity than Maritime Silk Road countries, and China and non-adjacent countries have higher connectivity than China and adjacent countries. Additionally, GDP fluctuations spillover network demonstrate the net transmitters and net receivers in the network, and the transmission channels and directions between each other. Policy-makers should consider these findings for high-quality BRI cooperation.
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共建“一带一路”沿线国家的经济联系
10年来,“一带一路”倡议使两国经贸关系更加紧密。本研究分析了“一带一路”参与国之间的经济互联性,并强调了主要发现。伙伴国家之间的经济联系有快有慢,互联互通程度高。宏观经济低迷增加了国家间的经济联系,负传染指数高于正传染指数。陆上丝绸之路国家互联互通程度高于海上丝绸之路国家,中国与周边国家互联互通程度高于中国与周边国家。此外,GDP波动溢出网络展示了网络中的净发送者和净接收者,以及彼此之间的传播渠道和方向。政策制定者应考虑这些研究结果,推动高质量的“一带一路”合作。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
8.30%
发文量
168
期刊介绍: The focus of the North-American Journal of Economics and Finance is on the economics of integration of goods, services, financial markets, at both regional and global levels with the role of economic policy in that process playing an important role. Both theoretical and empirical papers are welcome. Empirical and policy-related papers that rely on data and the experiences of countries outside North America are also welcome. Papers should offer concrete lessons about the ongoing process of globalization, or policy implications about how governments, domestic or international institutions, can improve the coordination of their activities. Empirical analysis should be capable of replication. Authors of accepted papers will be encouraged to supply data and computer programs.
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