Cascading failure analysis of interdependent water-power networks based on functional coupling

IF 11 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Reliability Engineering & System Safety Pub Date : 2025-02-20 DOI:10.1016/j.ress.2025.110950
Yang Li, Mingyuan Zhang
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Abstract

Due to the increasing interdependence and interconnection, the water supply network (WSN) and electric power network (EPN) face a higher risk of cascading failures. Existing studies mainly focus on the cascading failures of the single network but rarely on the interdependent water-power networks (IWPN) under earthquakes. Therefore, combined with the physical operation characteristics, this paper proposes a cascading failure analysis method for interdependent water-power networks based on functional coupling. First, we define the functional coupling relationships between the IWPN and establish a topology model of the IWPN. Subsequently, the joint probability and functional coupling strength are introduced to determine the failure probability of coupled components in the WSN and EPN. The initial failure components are determined by a random method. Then, the node load function and line capacity function are introduced as the judgment conditions of cascading failure of the WSN and EPN, respectively. The cascading failure transmission process of the WSN and EPN is further conducted based on the dynamical flow model. Further, a calculation method for the functional loss of the WSN and EPN is proposed. Finally, the proposed methodology is applied to the coupling WSN of a certain city and IEEE118 node network. The results show that cascading failures in the IWPN spread wider than a single network and cause more serious functional losses. The findings of this work would have important implications for formulating disaster prevention and mitigation measures and seismic performance improvement strategies for interdependent infrastructure networks.
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基于功能耦合的相互依赖水电网络级联失效分析
由于供水网络和电力网络的相互依赖性和互联性日益增强,供水网络和电力网络面临着更高的级联故障风险。现有的研究主要集中在单一水网的级联破坏上,而对相互依赖的水网在地震作用下的级联破坏研究较少。因此,本文结合实际运行特点,提出了一种基于功能耦合的相互依赖水电网络级联失效分析方法。首先,我们定义了IWPN之间的功能耦合关系,建立了IWPN的拓扑模型。随后,引入联合概率和功能耦合强度来确定WSN和EPN中耦合部件的失效概率。初始失效分量由随机方法确定。然后,分别引入节点负荷函数和线路容量函数作为WSN和EPN级联故障的判断条件。基于动态流动模型,进一步分析了WSN和EPN的级联故障传递过程。在此基础上,提出了WSN和EPN的功能损失计算方法。最后,将该方法应用于某城市无线传感器网络与IEEE118节点网络的耦合。结果表明,IWPN中的级联故障比单个网络传播更广,造成的功能损失更严重。这项工作的结果将对为相互依存的基础设施网络制定防灾和减灾措施以及改善地震性能战略产生重要影响。
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来源期刊
Reliability Engineering & System Safety
Reliability Engineering & System Safety 管理科学-工程:工业
CiteScore
15.20
自引率
39.50%
发文量
621
审稿时长
67 days
期刊介绍: Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.
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