Reconstructing Historical Land Use and Anthropogenic Inputs in Lake Victoria Basin: Insights from PAH and n-Alkane Trends.

Abstract

Over the past century, human activities have profoundly transformed global ecosystems. Lake Victoria in East Africa exemplifies these challenges, showcasing the interplay of anthropogenic pressures driven by land use changes, urbanization, agriculture, and industrialization. Our comprehensive study investigates polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) and n-alkanes in the lake and its catchment to trace their sources and historical deposition. Sediment cores were collected from six sites within the catchment, representing diverse landforms and human activities, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of the basin. The results indicate significant spatial and temporal variations in both PAH and n-alkane profiles, reflecting diverse land use changes and development trajectories in the basin. Urban sites often exhibited higher concentrations of PAHs and short-chain n-alkanes, indicative of anthropogenic sources such as fossil fuel combustion, the input of petroleum hydrocarbons, and industrial emissions. In contrast, rural areas showed low PAH levels and a dominance of long-chain n-alkanes from terrestrial plant waxes. The n-alkane ratios, including the Carbon Preference Index and the Terrigenous-Aquatic Ratio, suggested shifts in organic matter sources over time, corresponding with land use changes and increased human activities. A mid-20th century shift toward increased anthropogenic contributions was observed across sites, coinciding with post-independence development. The mid-lake sediment core integrated inputs from multiple sub-catchments, providing a comprehensive record of basin-scale changes. These findings highlight three distinct periods of organic matter input: pre-1960s, dominated by natural and biogenic sources; 1960s-1990s, marked by increasing anthropogenic influence; and post-1990s, characterized by complex mixtures of pyrogenic, petrogenic, and biogenic sources. This study underscores the cumulative environmental and aquatic ecosystem effects of urbanization (rural vs. urban sites), industrialization, and land use changes over the past century. The combined analyses of PAHs and n-alkanes provide a comprehensive understanding of historical and ongoing environmental impacts, emphasizing the need for integrated management strategies that address pollutant inputs to preserve Lake Victoria's ecological integrity.