Vertebroplacental ratio for prediction of perinatal outcome and operative delivery for suspected fetal compromise: prospective observational cohort study.
Objective: To investigate differences in fetal vertebroplacental ratio (VPR) depending on the occurrence of operative delivery for suspected fetal compromise (ODFC) and composite perinatal outcome (CPO) at delivery.
Methods: This was a prospective observational cohort study conducted in the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at the University Hospitals of Leuven, Leuven, Belgium, between December 2022 and April 2024. Women with a term (37-42 gestational weeks) singleton pregnancy with an appropriate-for-gestational-age (AGA) fetus were recruited, before cervical dilatation reached 5 cm, for sonographic fetal weight estimation (EFW) and Doppler sonography of the umbilical artery (UA), umbilical vein (UV), middle cerebral artery (MCA) and vertebral artery (VA). The primary outcomes were differences in VPR multiples of the median (MoM) depending on the occurrence of ODFC and CPO at delivery (based on UA cord blood pH and base excess, 1-min and 5-min Apgar score, and neonatal intensive care unit admission). We explored the technical feasibility of fetal Doppler sonography in this setting and differences in Doppler findings from individual fetal vessels (UA, UV blood flow (UVF), MCA, VA) and related parameters (UVF/EFW and cerebroplacental ratio (CPR)). We also investigated whether adding individual sonographic variables to baseline clinical prediction models could improve discriminatory power (using the area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC)) and predictive accuracy (using the Brier score) for both outcomes.
Results: A total of 161 women were recruited. The mean ± SD maternal age was 32.2 ± 3.8 years and approximately half (53.4%) of the women were nulliparous. Most (88.2%) women had labor induced. The mean ± SD gestational age at delivery was 39.3 ± 1.0 weeks and the mean ± SD ultrasound-to-delivery interval was 10.4 ± 2.75 h. An adverse CPO occurred in 13.3% of cases and ODFC occurred in 17.4%. No difference in mean VPR MoM was observed between cases with normal vs adverse CPO (1.04 ± 0.26 vs 1.17 ± 0.25; P = 0.09), or between cases which underwent ODFC vs those which did not (1.06 ± 0.29 vs 1.06 ± 0.26; P = 0.97). Likewise, no differences in other Doppler variables (UA pulsatility index (PI) MoM, MCA-PI MoM, VA-PI MoM, CPR MoM) were observed for both outcomes, except for significantly higher UVF rates in the adverse CPO group (both absolute (P = 0.02) and corrected for EFW (P = 0.048)). For both outcomes, adding VPR MoM or any other sonographic variable to baseline prediction models, which consisted solely of clinical variables, did not improve predictive accuracy or discriminatory power. The baseline model AUC and Brier score values were 0.68 (95% CI, 0.57-0.79) and 0.14 for adverse CPO, and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.61-0.83) and 0.13 for ODFC, respectively.
期刊介绍:
Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology (UOG) is the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology (ISUOG) and is considered the foremost international peer-reviewed journal in the field. It publishes cutting-edge research that is highly relevant to clinical practice, which includes guidelines, expert commentaries, consensus statements, original articles, and systematic reviews. UOG is widely recognized and included in prominent abstract and indexing databases such as Index Medicus and Current Contents.