Changes in Lung Function and Mortality Risk in Patients With Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

IF 9.5 1区医学 Q1 CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE Chest Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI:10.1016/j.chest.2025.02.018

Justin M Oldham, Megan L Neely, Daniel M Wojdyla, Mridu Gulati, Peide Li, Divya C Patel, Scott M Palmer, Jamie L Todd

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Abstract

Background: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease associated with lung function decline and high mortality.

Research question: What are the associations between thresholds of lung function decline and the risk of mortality in patients with IPF?

Study design and methods: The Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis-Prospective Outcomes Registry enrolled patients with IPF that was diagnosed or confirmed at the enrolling center within the prior 6 months. Associations between time to first decline in FVC or diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide (Dlco) of ≥ 2% predicted, ≥ 5% predicted, and ≥ 10% predicted (and ≥ 15% predicted for Dlco) and risk of subsequent death or lung transplant was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models with a time-dependent covariate. Models were unadjusted or adjusted for FVC and Dlco % predicted, age, sex, smoking status, BMI, antifibrotic treatment (yes or no), and oxygen use at enrollment.

Results: Among 1,001 patients, median follow-up time was 38.4 months. Significant associations were observed between all thresholds of decline in FVC and Dlco % predicted and the risk of death or lung transplant in unadjusted and adjusted analyses. In adjusted analyses, absolute declines in FVC of ≥ 2% predicted, ≥ 5% predicted, and ≥ 10% predicted were associated with 1.8-fold, 2.3-fold, and 2.7-fold increases in the risk of subsequent death or lung transplant, whereas absolute declines in Dlco of ≥ 2% predicted, ≥ 5% predicted, ≥ 10% predicted, and ≥ 15% predicted were associated with 2.0-fold, 1.4-fold, 1.5-fold, and 1.9-fold increases in the risk of subsequent death or lung transplantation, respectively. For Dlco, but not FVC, the increase in risk generally was greater for patients meeting a threshold based on a relative rather than an absolute decline.

Interpretation: Even small declines in FVC and Dlco % predicted inform prognosis in patients with IPF.

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来源期刊

Chest 医学-呼吸系统

CiteScore

13.70

自引率

3.10%

发文量

3369

审稿时长

15 days

期刊介绍： At CHEST, our mission is to revolutionize patient care through the collaboration of multidisciplinary clinicians in the fields of pulmonary, critical care, and sleep medicine. We achieve this by publishing cutting-edge clinical research that addresses current challenges and brings forth future advancements. To enhance understanding in a rapidly evolving field, CHEST also features review articles, commentaries, and facilitates discussions on emerging controversies. We place great emphasis on scientific rigor, employing a rigorous peer review process, and ensuring all accepted content is published online within two weeks.