Wind power generation prediction using LSTM model optimized by sparrow search algorithm and firefly algorithm

Q2 Energy Energy Informatics Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI:10.1186/s42162-025-00492-x
Wenjing Zhang, Hongjing Yan, Lili Xiang, Linling Shao
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Abstract

As an important renewable energy source, wind power generation is highly stochastic and uncertain due to various environmental factors affecting its output. To raise the accuracy of wind power generation prediction, a bidirectional long short-term memory network combination model based on sparrow search algorithm and firefly algorithm optimization is designed. The model first employs a bidirectional long short-term memory network to capture the long-term dependency features of time series, and uses random forests for nonlinear modeling and feature selection. Then, the sparrow search algorithm and firefly algorithm are combined to optimize the hyperparameter configuration, improving the predictive performance and global search ability of the model. The findings denote that the accuracy of the designed model reaches 98.5%, with a mean square error as low as 0.005 and a prediction time as short as 0.18 s. The simulation analysis results show that the predicted values of the developed model almost coincide with the actual values, with small errors. The research outcomes denote that the optimized model greatly raises the accuracy and efficiency of wind power generation prediction, and has good application prospects.

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利用麻雀搜索算法和萤火虫算法优化的LSTM模型进行风力发电预测
风力发电作为一种重要的可再生能源,其发电量受到各种环境因素的影响,具有高度的随机性和不确定性。为了提高风力发电预测的准确性,设计了一种基于麻雀搜索算法和萤火虫算法优化的双向长短期记忆网络组合模型。该模型首先利用双向长短期记忆网络捕捉时间序列的长期依赖特征,并利用随机森林进行非线性建模和特征选择。然后,结合麻雀搜索算法和萤火虫算法对超参数配置进行优化,提高模型的预测性能和全局搜索能力。结果表明,所设计模型的准确率达到98.5%,均方误差低至0.005,预测时间短至0.18 s。仿真分析结果表明,所建模型的预测值与实际值基本吻合,误差较小。研究结果表明,优化后的模型大大提高了风力发电预测的精度和效率,具有良好的应用前景。
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来源期刊
Energy Informatics
Energy Informatics Computer Science-Computer Networks and Communications
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
审稿时长
5 weeks
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