Balancing act: Examining the trade-offs between regional convergence and economic growth in China's province managing county reform

IF 1.3 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Economics of Transition and Institutional Change Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI:10.1111/ecot.12433
Tahir Yousaf
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Abstract

The study examines the relationship between regional convergence, economic growth and government hierarchies, with a specific focus on the province managing county (PMC) reform policy in China. The motivation for this research stems from the observation that a substantial portion of the increased inequality in China is attributable to disparities at the county level. This underscores the necessity for policies that address regional inequalities at the county level while simultaneously promoting sustained economic growth. We employ a time-varying quasi-natural experiment to explore how this reform has influenced regional convergence and economic growth within the sample period. The outcomes reveal that the PMC reform had a detrimental impact on regional convergence, hindering it by an average of 2.6%, while economic growth received a modest increase of 0.36%. The study also reveals notable heterogeneity in the effects of the reform, contracted disparities in western region, alongside exhibiting widened disparities and higher growth in eastern & central region. The study also investigates the underlying mechanisms, finding that expenditures on basic provisions reduced, while county revenue and investment expenditures increased following the policy change. It proposes that the increased investment in capital expenditures stimulated economic growth but came at the cost of hindering regional convergence.

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平衡行为:考察中国省管县改革中区域趋同与经济增长之间的权衡
本研究考察了区域趋同、经济增长和政府等级制度之间的关系,特别关注了中国的省管县(PMC)改革政策。这项研究的动机源于这样一种观察,即中国不平等加剧的很大一部分可归因于县一级的差距。这强调了必须制定政策,在县一级解决区域不平等问题,同时促进持续的经济增长。我们采用一个时变的准自然实验来探讨这一改革在样本期内对区域收敛和经济增长的影响。结果表明,PMC改革对区域趋同产生了不利影响,平均阻碍了区域趋同2.6%,而经济增长仅小幅增长0.36%。研究还揭示了改革效果的显著异质性,西部地区差距缩小,东部地区差距扩大,增长较快;中部地区。该研究还调查了潜在的机制,发现在政策变化后,基本供应支出减少,而县收入和投资支出增加。它提出,资本支出投资的增加刺激了经济增长,但代价是阻碍了区域趋同。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
11.10%
发文量
32
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