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An experiment on the stability of business environment perceptions in a firm survey 关于企业调查中商业环境认知稳定性的实验
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12434
Asif M. Islam, Jorge Rodriguez Meza
Perception‐based survey questions have been widely employed to evaluate the business environment. In the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, such questions involve rating an element of the business environment at the end of each section of the survey instrument. They often elicit responses inconsistent with similar questions based on the firm's experience over a specific timeframe. In this study, an experiment is analysed that randomizes the placement order of the perception‐based questions either at the end of a section or at the beginning of the survey. Significant question‐order effects are uncovered for perceptions of corruption (9%–13% point) and business licencing and permits (7%–8% point) but not the other elements after accounting for a variety of factors; there are no questions‐order effects for experience‐based questions. The study recommends that analyses in these two areas validate perception‐based questions with corresponding experience‐based questions. This adds to a larger literature that emphasizes the importance of data quality and its far‐reaching economic benefits especially in guiding policy.
基于感知的调查问题已被广泛用于评估商业环境。在世界银行企业调查中,这类问题涉及在调查工具每个部分的末尾对商业环境的一个要素进行评分。根据企业在特定时间段内的经验,这些问题往往会引出与类似问题不一致的回答。在本研究中,我们对一项实验进行了分析,该实验随机调整了基于感知的问题的排列顺序,既可以将其放在某一部分的末尾,也可以将其放在调查的开头。在考虑了各种因素后,发现对腐败的看法(9%-13% 分)和对商业执照和许可证的看法(7%-8% 分)有显著的问题顺序效应,但对其他要素则没有;对基于经验的问题则没有问题顺序效应。研究建议在这两个领域进行分析,用相应的基于经验的问题来验证基于感知的问题。更多文献强调了数据质量的重要性及其深远的经济效益,尤其是在指导政策方面。
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引用次数: 0
Can the improvements in human capital quality mitigate the negative impact of ageing on growth? Evidence from selected EU countries 人力资本质量的提高能否减轻老龄化对经济增长的负面影响?来自部分欧盟国家的证据
IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12430
Izabela Sobiech Pellegrini, Rafał Chmura, Jakub Sawulski, Tymoteusz Mȩtrak
Most long‐term GDP projections in developed countries expect a substantial decline in GDP growth rates over time. The main factor behind it is demographic changes, especially the decreasing working‐age population. We argue that these projections do not consider improvements in the quality of the human capital, which may, at least to some extent, mitigate the effects of the negative demographic shock. We start with a simple observation—the skills of younger age cohorts are higher than of older cohorts. Assuming that the current level of skills will be obtained also by the generations which will enter the labour market in the future, the average level of skills among the working‐age population will increase. Trying to catch this effect, we use the Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies standardised test results to create an aggregate human capital measure, the average skill level of the work force, for 18 European Union countries and project it until 2040. We show that on average at least one sixth of the negative impact of the shrinking of the working‐age population can be offset by the increase in the quality of human capital and that this number can increase to three quarters in a less conservative scenario.
发达国家的大多数长期 GDP 预测都预计随着时间的推移,GDP 增长率将大幅下降。这背后的主要因素是人口结构的变化,尤其是劳动适龄人口的减少。我们认为,这些预测没有考虑到人力资本质量的提高,而人力资本质量的提高至少可以在一定程度上缓解人口结构负面冲击的影响。我们从一个简单的现象入手--年轻群体的技能高于年长群体。假设目前的技能水平也将由未来进入劳动力市场的几代人获得,那么劳动适龄人口的平均技能水平将会提高。为了捕捉这一效应,我们利用国际成人能力评估计划的标准化测试结果,为 18 个欧盟国家创建了一个综合人力资本衡量标准,即劳动力的平均技能水平,并将其预测到 2040 年。我们表明,平均而言,劳动适龄人口减少的负面影响至少有六分之一可以被人力资本质量的提高所抵消,在不太保守的情况下,这一数字可以增加到四分之三。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of economic crises on corporate-banking relationship: Evidence from Korea 经济危机对企业银行业务关系的影响:韩国的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12428
Dongwoo Kim, Hoon Jung

This study tries to identify the impact of recent economic turmoil including the COVID-19 pandemic and global financial crisis on a corporation's banking relationships. Using a wide range of unique data from 2008 to 2020 in the Korean loan market, this study compares the two crises periods to the ordinary periods. It is found that the effects of firm-specific factors on banking relationships are strengthened (for loan amount) or weakened (for corporate size and credit rating) during the two crises. However, for the industrial sector a firm belongs to, the interaction effects of the crises show opposite signs.

本研究试图找出近期经济动荡(包括 COVID-19 大流行病和全球金融危机)对企业银行关系的影响。本研究使用 2008 年至 2020 年韩国贷款市场的大量独特数据,将两次危机时期与普通时期进行了比较。研究发现,在两次危机期间,企业特定因素对银行关系的影响有所加强(贷款金额)或减弱(企业规模和信用评级)。然而,就企业所属的工业部门而言,危机的交互效应显示出相反的迹象。
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引用次数: 0
The dynamics of product and labour market power: Evidence from Lithuania 产品和劳动力市场力量的动态:立陶宛的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12427
Ziran Ding, Jose Garcia-Louzao, Valentin Jouvanceau

This paper characterizes the power dynamics of firms in product and labour markets in Lithuania between 2004 and 2018. We first show that both markets are not perfectly competitive, as both price markups and wage markdowns are far from unitary and homogeneous. We show that the dynamics of these margins followed different patterns. On the one hand, dispersion and the economy-wide markup have increased, suggesting an increase in product market power. On the other hand, we document a decline in monopsony power, as heterogeneity and the aggregate markdown have declined. Altogether, our results underscore the importance of jointly analyzing product and labour markets when assessing firms' market power.

本文描述了 2004 年至 2018 年间立陶宛产品市场和劳动力市场中企业的动力动态。我们首先表明,这两个市场并非完全竞争,因为价格加价和工资减价远非单一和同质。我们表明,这些利润率的动态变化遵循不同的模式。一方面,分散性和整个经济的加价率都有所上升,这表明产品的市场力量有所增强。另一方面,随着异质性和总加价率的下降,我们记录了垄断力量的下降。总之,我们的研究结果强调了在评估企业市场力量时联合分析产品市场和劳动力市场的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Intellectual property protection, infringement disputes, and, corporate innovation investment persistence 知识产权保护、侵权纠纷与企业创新投资的持久性
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12419
Hongxing Peng, Xinshu Mao, Jun Zhang

To examine the important role of regional intellectual property (IP) protection, we empirically check the impact of infringement disputes on corporate innovation investment persistence. We document that IP protection enforcement can significantly and negatively mitigate the infringer's innovation investment persistence but positively enhance that of the infringed firm. This effect is more pronounced for non-high-tech or non-state-owned firms. Moreover, IP protection mainly reshapes a firm's perceptions of innovation investment persistence through the efficiency and fairness of law enforcement. Our findings provide insights into optimizing the IP protection environment, especially for emerging economies.

为了研究地区知识产权(IP)保护的重要作用,我们通过实证检验了侵权纠纷对企业创新投资持续性的影响。根据我们的记录,知识产权保护的实施会显著降低侵权方的创新投资持续性,但会积极提高被侵权企业的创新投资持续性。对于非高科技或非国有企业,这种影响更为明显。此外,知识产权保护主要通过执法的效率和公平性来重塑企业对创新投资持久性的认知。我们的研究结果为优化知识产权保护环境,尤其是新兴经济体的知识产权保护环境提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Firms' sustainable and responsible innovation in Nigeria: Does informality play a role? 尼日利亚企业的可持续和负责任创新:非正规性是否发挥作用?
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12426
Farid Gasmi, Dorgyles C. M. Kouakou, Maruf Sanni

At the turn of the millennium, developing countries face a twofold challenge. First, for reasons related to both intra- and inter-generational justice, these countries need to follow sustainable development pathways. Second, they need to understand the deep principles underpinning informality, which is by now recognized as a structuring phenomenon of their economies. This paper sheds light on the relationship between these two goals by investigating how a Nigerian firm being formal versus informal affects its sustainable and responsible innovation (S&RI) activity. Using the entropy balancing methodology to analyze a novel database extracted from the Nigerian Business Innovation Surveys, we find that registered Nigerian firms engage in S&RI much more than those that are not. This suggests that, from the perspective of sustainable development, there should be no hiatus between recognizing the important role of the informal sector in the economy and promoting policies that give firms incentives to exit from it. By encouraging the registration of firms operating informally, these policies should help Nigeria in its transition to a sustainable market economy.

在千年之交,发展中国家面临着双重挑战。首先,出于代内和代际公正的原因,这些国家需要走可持续发展的道路。其次,它们需要了解非正规性的深层原理,因为非正规性现已被公认为是其经济结构的一种现象。本文通过研究尼日利亚企业的正规与非正规性如何影响其可持续和负责任的创新(S&RI)活动,揭示了这两个目标之间的关系。通过使用熵平衡方法分析从尼日利亚商业创新调查中提取的新数据库,我们发现尼日利亚注册企业参与可持续和负责任创新的程度远高于非注册企业。这表明,从可持续发展的角度来看,在承认非正规经济部门在经济中的重要作用与促进激励企业退出非正规经济部门的政策之间,不应存在任何停滞。通过鼓励非正规经营的公司注册,这些政策应有助于尼日利亚向可持续的市场经济过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Bilateral political ties and the stability of services exports 双边政治关系与服务出口的稳定性
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12420
Hua Zhou, Lun Yang, Yijia Wang, Jiachen Fan

This study examines the effect of bilateral political ties on the stability of service exports. The results show that the deterioration of political ties can decrease the stability of service exports by strengthening non-tariff barriers and weakening immigration networks. A decrease in voting similarity among trading partners in the United Nations General Assembly corresponds to heightened instability in service exports. In particular, political ties have a more pronounced impact on the stability of tourism service exports than on other services. Developing countries, in contrast to developed countries, should pay particular attention to the impact of political ties on the stability of service exports. Moreover, improvements in technological advantages and Internet openness in exporting countries can weaken the impact of political ties.

本研究探讨了双边政治关系对服务出口稳定性的影响。结果表明,政治联系的恶化会加强非关税壁垒,削弱移民网络,从而降低服务出口的稳定性。贸易伙伴在联合国大会投票相似度的降低与服务出口不稳定性的增加相对应。与其他服务相比,政治联系对旅游服务出口稳定性的影响尤为明显。与发达国家相比,发展中国家应特别关注政治联系对服务出口稳定性的影响。此外,出口国技术优势和互联网开放程度的提高也会削弱政治联系的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Judicial institutional design and corporate litigation: Evidence from a natural experiment in China 司法制度设计与公司诉讼:来自中国自然实验的证据
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12421
Shengfeng Lu, Hui Tian, Yan Zhao, Yukun Sun

The judicial institutions of a country impact corporate litigation. From 2003 to 2010, China allowed the appointed secretaries of the Committee of Political and Legislative Affairs to hold concurrent administrative roles (CAR) as directors of the Police Departments in their respective provinces. Such a policy provides a natural experiment on the change of the judicial environment. In this paper, we employ a Staggered Difference-in-Differences method to study the effect of changes in judicial institution on corporate litigation using data on publicly traded corporations from 1998 to 2010. We find corporations engage in fewer corporate litigations during the time period of China's CAR policy (i.e., when judicial justice was likely weaker). Further analysis shows that the probability of winning lawsuits increases for non-state-owned enterprises. Mechanism analysis shows that the CAR policy heightens the uncertainty of economic policies by changing companies' perceptions of the status of political and legal institutions in the judicial system, thereby reducing corporate judicial participation.

一个国家的司法机构会对企业诉讼产生影响。2003 年至 2010 年,中国允许政法委书记兼任各省公安厅厅长。这一政策为司法环境的变化提供了一个天然的实验。在本文中,我们采用交错差分法(Staggered Difference-in-Differences method),利用 1998 年至 2010 年的上市公司数据,研究了司法体制变化对企业诉讼的影响。我们发现,在中国实行资本充足率政策的时期(即司法公正可能较弱的时期),企业参与公司诉讼的数量较少。进一步的分析表明,非国有企业的胜诉概率增加。机制分析表明,中非共和国政策通过改变企业对司法系统中政治和法律机构地位的看法,增加了经济政策的不确定性,从而减少了企业的司法参与。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical analysis of child labour, household poverty, and child health in Ghana 对加纳童工、家庭贫困和儿童健康的实证分析
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-19 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12418
Opoku Adabor

The paper studies the effect of household poverty on child labour (CL) and explores how CL affects working children's health using an instrumental variable strategy. After correcting for endogeneity, we find that household poverty significantly contributes to the incidence of CL whilst increasing the working hour of children increases the likelihood that working children would sustain wounds/cuts, get skin diseases, or get burned by fire, signifying the adverse effect of CL on child health in Ghana. These findings are robust to different approaches to addressing endogeneity. The study recommends that while it is imperative to implement policies to reduce children's engagement in all hazardous forms of child work and to protect the health of working children, government policies that address poverty might also be necessary.

本文研究了家庭贫困对童工(CL)的影响,并利用工具变量策略探讨了童工对童工健康的影响。在校正了内生性之后,我们发现家庭贫困显著增加了童工的发生率,而增加儿童的工作时间则增加了童工受伤/割伤、患皮肤病或被火烧伤的可能性,这表明童工对加纳儿童的健康产生了不利影响。这些研究结果对解决内生性问题的不同方法都是稳健的。研究建议,虽然必须实施政策来减少儿童从事各种危险形式的童工工作并保护童工的健康,但政府可能也有必要实施解决贫困问题的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Origin matters: Privatization of state-owned enterprises and family business internationalization 起源问题:国有企业私有化与家族企业国际化
IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1111/ecot.12417
Hao Ding

The impact of a firm's origins on its strategic decision-making has attracted scholarly attention in recent years. Focusing on firms' origins, this paper explores the relationship between the privatization of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and family business internationalization. Based on data from listed family businesses in China from 2003 to 2022, we find that compared to entrepreneurial family businesses, restructured family businesses have a lower internationalization degree. Moreover, high trade policy uncertainty strengthens the negative relationship between the privatization of SOEs and family business internationalization, while high family involvement plays a weakening role. Several robustness tests later, the findings remain valid. This study introduces the firm's origin as a vital determinant, which may contribute to the prior studies on family business internationalization. Besides, this paper complements research on the economic consequences of the privatization of SOEs in China. Finally, this paper may help Chinese family businesses actively participate in the international cycle to achieve competitive advantage and high-quality development.

近年来,企业起源对其战略决策的影响引起了学者们的关注。本文以企业起源为中心,探讨了国有企业私有化与家族企业国际化之间的关系。基于 2003 年至 2022 年中国上市家族企业的数据,我们发现与创业型家族企业相比,改制型家族企业的国际化程度较低。此外,贸易政策的高度不确定性加强了国有企业私有化与家族企业国际化之间的负相关关系,而家族的高度参与则起到了削弱作用。经过多次稳健性检验,研究结果依然有效。本研究将企业起源作为一个重要的决定因素,这可能会对之前关于家族企业国际化的研究有所贡献。此外,本文也是对中国国有企业私有化经济后果研究的补充。最后,本文有助于中国家族企业积极参与国际循环,实现竞争优势和高质量发展。
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引用次数: 0
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Economics of Transition and Institutional Change
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