{"title":"Spatial Distribution of Carbon Emissions and Synergistic Evidence for Achieving Climate-Friendly Development in Underdeveloped Area of China","authors":"Caixia Wei, Fenglin Lv, Zhenchuang Wang, Liang Cao, Tingting Li, Siqi Lu, Heli Lu, Wanfu Feng, Thanasis Kizos","doi":"10.1007/s12061-025-09648-4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Development is generally accompanied by increases in emissions. While numerous studies have examined the dilemma between development and emissions, the question of how areas with different development levels can achieve economic growth while reducing emissions remains a complex challenge. This issue complicates the formulation of synergistic Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in designated management areas. To address this, our study identifies the development factors that have a strong indirect effect on emissions in the extremely underdeveloped area of China using the PLS-SEM model method. Furthermore, the study provides threshold results for the synergistic effects of development and emission reduction in underdeveloped areas with differing development levels, based on piecewise linear regression analysis. Our findings show that development processes in underdeveloped areas resulted in significant carbon (C) emissions between 2005 and 2020, ranging from 1,790.34 t to 2,801.33 t. In mildly, generally, and relatively underdeveloped areas, it is possible to achieve synergy between development and emission reduction when the response thresholds for emissions with respect to the proportion of construction land, energy consumption per GDP, and total retail sales of consumer goods are within the ranges of 0.183–0.205, below 0.287 t, and 74.63–89.10 billion yuan, respectively. However, in severely underdeveloped areas, no threshold was identified for the application of agricultural chemical fertilizers that would lead to emission reductions. Ultimately, this study offers decision-makers a range of thresholds to guide management strategies and the development of synergistic policies aimed at mitigating climate change while promoting sustainable development.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46392,"journal":{"name":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12061-025-09648-4","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Development is generally accompanied by increases in emissions. While numerous studies have examined the dilemma between development and emissions, the question of how areas with different development levels can achieve economic growth while reducing emissions remains a complex challenge. This issue complicates the formulation of synergistic Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in designated management areas. To address this, our study identifies the development factors that have a strong indirect effect on emissions in the extremely underdeveloped area of China using the PLS-SEM model method. Furthermore, the study provides threshold results for the synergistic effects of development and emission reduction in underdeveloped areas with differing development levels, based on piecewise linear regression analysis. Our findings show that development processes in underdeveloped areas resulted in significant carbon (C) emissions between 2005 and 2020, ranging from 1,790.34 t to 2,801.33 t. In mildly, generally, and relatively underdeveloped areas, it is possible to achieve synergy between development and emission reduction when the response thresholds for emissions with respect to the proportion of construction land, energy consumption per GDP, and total retail sales of consumer goods are within the ranges of 0.183–0.205, below 0.287 t, and 74.63–89.10 billion yuan, respectively. However, in severely underdeveloped areas, no threshold was identified for the application of agricultural chemical fertilizers that would lead to emission reductions. Ultimately, this study offers decision-makers a range of thresholds to guide management strategies and the development of synergistic policies aimed at mitigating climate change while promoting sustainable development.
期刊介绍：
Description
The journal has an applied focus: it actively promotes the importance of geographical research in real world settings
It is policy-relevant: it seeks both a readership and contributions from practitioners as well as academics
The substantive foundation is spatial analysis: the use of quantitative techniques to identify patterns and processes within geographic environments
The combination of these points, which are fully reflected in the naming of the journal, establishes a unique position in the marketplace.
RationaleA geographical perspective has always been crucial to the understanding of the social and physical organisation of the world around us. The techniques of spatial analysis provide a powerful means for the assembly and interpretation of evidence, and thus to address critical questions about issues such as crime and deprivation, immigration and demographic restructuring, retailing activity and employment change, resource management and environmental improvement. Many of these issues are equally important to academic research as they are to policy makers and Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy aims to close the gap between these two perspectives by providing a forum for discussion of applied research in a range of different contexts
Topical and interdisciplinaryIncreasingly government organisations, administrative agencies and private businesses are requiring research to support their ‘evidence-based’ strategies or policies. Geographical location is critical in much of this work which extends across a wide range of disciplines including demography, actuarial sciences, statistics, public sector planning, business planning, economics, epidemiology, sociology, social policy, health research, environmental management.
FocusApplied Spatial Analysis and Policy will draw on applied research from diverse problem domains, such as transport, policing, education, health, environment and leisure, in different international contexts. The journal will therefore provide insights into the variations in phenomena that exist across space, it will provide evidence for comparative policy analysis between domains and between locations, and stimulate ideas about the translation of spatial analysis methods and techniques across varied policy contexts. It is essential to know how to measure, monitor and understand spatial distributions, many of which have implications for those with responsibility to plan and enhance the society and the environment in which we all exist.
Readership and Editorial BoardAs a journal focused on applications of methods of spatial analysis, Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy will be of interest to scholars and students in a wide range of academic fields, to practitioners in government and administrative agencies and to consultants in private sector organisations. The Editorial Board reflects the international and multidisciplinary nature of the journal.
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