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Investigating Intercity Population Movement and its Determinants in China Using multi-year Big Data 基于多年大数据的中国城际人口流动及其影响因素研究
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09791-y
Weiwei Cao, Feng Shi, Chongyi Jing, Wen Yi

Understanding intercity population movement is vital for the socioeconomic development of urban areas. Based on Amap big data spanning 2019 to 2023, this study utilizes a combination of social network analysis and explainable machine learning techniques to explore the spatiotemporal patterns and determinants of intercity population movement across 368 cities in China. The findings highlight significant heterogeneity in the spatial distribution of population flow, characterized by a “southeast dense, northwest sparse” pattern, though spatial disparities have narrowed over the past five years. Population flow varied significantly across cities, with high-tier cities exhibiting contrasting net population inflow compared to low-tier cities. Hierarchical clustering patterns were evident, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, Yangtze River Delta, and the Pearl River Delta emerging as primary hubs of population distribution. The population flow network demonstrated distinct community characteristics, with divisions closely aligned with geographical proximity and provincial-level administrative divisions. Basic regression analysis identified city population size, economic development, public service quality, and air quality as significant factors in population mobility. Further analysis using explainable machine learning techniques revealed that distance, high-speed rail connectivity, and population size were the most impactful determinants, displaying complex nonlinear relationships. Additionally, this study identified the evolution of nonlinear effects associated with key determinants over time. These findings advance the theoretical understanding of mobility mechanisms beyond linear assumptions and offer valuable insights for optimizing urban agglomeration structures and guiding mobility management policies.

了解城际人口流动对城市地区的社会经济发展至关重要。基于2019 - 2023年高德地图大数据,结合社会网络分析和可解释性机器学习技术,探讨了中国368个城市城际人口流动的时空格局和影响因素。研究结果强调了人口流动空间分布的显著异质性,其特征是“东南密集,西北稀疏”的格局,尽管空间差异在过去五年中有所缩小。不同城市的人口流动差异很大,与低线城市相比,高线城市的人口净流入差异较大。分层集聚格局明显,京津冀、长三角、珠三角成为人口分布的主要枢纽。人口流动网络表现出鲜明的社区特征,区域划分与地理邻近度和省级行政区划密切相关。基本回归分析表明,城市人口规模、经济发展、公共服务质量和空气质量是影响人口流动的重要因素。使用可解释的机器学习技术的进一步分析显示,距离、高铁连通性和人口规模是最具影响力的决定因素,表现出复杂的非线性关系。此外,本研究还确定了与关键决定因素相关的非线性效应随时间的演变。这些研究结果推动了对流动性机制的理论理解,超越了线性假设,为优化城市群结构和指导流动性管理政策提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Spatial Footprint of EU Green Transition Policies: Assessing Socio‑Economic Vulnerability in Greek Regions 欧盟绿色转型政策的空间足迹:评估希腊地区的社会经济脆弱性
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09780-1
Panagiotis Artelaris

The Green Transition, the shift to a climate‑neutral economy, has been a top priority on the European policy agenda in recent years. While its environmental and economic objectives are ambitious, its socio‑economic effects might be uneven across regions, shaped by structural weaknesses, institutional capacity, and geographic characteristics. This study aims to assess the socio-economic vulnerability of Greek regions to Green Transition policies by examining both their exposure to the transition’s impacts and their capacity to cope with emerging challenges and opportunities. Using a multidimensional and integrated approach, we develop three composite indices to capture exposure, adaptability, and overall socio-economic vulnerability. The findings reveal a clearly uneven spatial footprint of the Green Transition in Greece: while all regions are expected to be significantly affected, some face disproportionately higher vulnerability. This highlights the need for targeted interventions to ensure a fair and inclusive transition across all regions.

绿色转型,即向气候中性经济的转变,近年来一直是欧洲政策议程上的重中之重。虽然其环境和经济目标雄心勃勃,但其社会经济影响可能因结构弱点、体制能力和地理特征而在各区域不均衡。本研究旨在评估希腊地区对绿色转型政策的社会经济脆弱性,方法是检查希腊地区对转型影响的暴露程度以及应对新出现的挑战和机遇的能力。采用多维综合方法,我们开发了三个综合指数来捕捉暴露度、适应性和整体社会经济脆弱性。研究结果显示,希腊绿色转型的空间足迹明显不平衡:虽然所有地区都将受到严重影响,但有些地区面临不成比例的更高脆弱性。这突出表明需要采取有针对性的干预措施,以确保在所有区域实现公平和包容的过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Morphological and Functional Centrality: An Integrated Approach To Spatial Structure 形态和功能中心性评价:空间结构的综合方法
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09795-8
Cansu Güller, Cigdem Varol

A comprehensive understanding of urban spatial form and functionality is essential for developing effective strategies and anticipating the impacts of planning decisions. Despite the growing academic interest in functional approaches, urban centers in planning practice are still predominantly defined by morphological attributes. This conceptual limitation is particularly evident in developing countries, where the implementation of polycentric development strategies requires a more integrated, multidimensional framework that incorporates both functional and morphological centrality. This study introduces a comprehensive framework for empirically assessing urban spatial structures by integrating morphological and functional dimensions through GIS-based spatial and temporal analysis. The primary objective is to examine polycentric urban patterns from the perspectives of static urban form and dynamic urban flows and to develop a composite Integrated Centrality Index that unifies these two dimensions. Using Ankara as a case study, the findings reveal significant spatial mismatches between morphological and functional centrality. While population density and the provision of basic services shape morphological centrality, they are insufficient predictors of functional performance. In contrast, areas offering specialized services and land use diversity demonstrate higher levels of human mobility and functional centrality. Furthermore, the study highlights that topo-geometric street features correlate strongly with vehicular traffic, whereas metric attributes, particularly betweenness index, are associated with public transport travel. By linking spatial form with functional flows, this research offers a comprehensive approach for understanding urban centrality. The results provide critical insights for planners and policymakers, underscoring the need for mobility-oriented, functionally diverse strategies that move beyond morphology-driven urban planning paradigms.

对城市空间形态和功能的全面理解对于制定有效的策略和预测规划决策的影响至关重要。尽管学术界对功能方法的兴趣日益浓厚,但规划实践中的城市中心仍然主要由形态属性来定义。这种概念上的限制在发展中国家尤为明显,在这些国家,多中心发展战略的实施需要一个更综合、多维的框架,将功能和形态的中心性结合起来。本文介绍了一个基于gis时空分析的城市空间结构实证评估的综合框架。主要目标是从静态城市形态和动态城市流动的角度来研究多中心城市模式,并制定一个综合的综合中心性指数,将这两个维度结合起来。以安卡拉为例,研究结果揭示了形态中心性和功能中心性之间的显著空间不匹配。虽然人口密度和基本服务的提供形成了形态上的中心性,但它们不足以预测功能表现。相比之下,提供专业服务和土地利用多样性的地区表现出更高水平的人员流动性和功能中心性。此外,该研究强调,地形几何街道特征与车辆交通密切相关,而度量属性,特别是间隔指数,与公共交通出行相关。通过将空间形式与功能流联系起来,本研究为理解城市中心性提供了全面的方法。研究结果为规划者和政策制定者提供了重要的见解,强调了超越形态驱动型城市规划范式的流动性导向、功能多样化战略的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Spatially Embedded Experience Economy: Machine Learning-Enhanced Analysis of Peer-to-Peer Accommodation Satisfaction Beyond Price Paradigms 空间嵌入式体验经济:超越价格范式的点对点住宿满意度的机器学习增强分析
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09785-w
Tae-Seong Lee, Yong-Jae Lee

This study reconceptualizes guest satisfaction in peer-to-peer accommodation as a spatially embedded experiential outcome. Combining transformer-based NLP (Sentence-BERT, BERTopic) with multilevel and spatial econometric models, we analyze 109,940 Airbnb reviews from 1,092 Hong Kong listings (2011–2023) using strict temporal holdout validation. Experiential quality emerges as the dominant determinant of guest satisfaction, exhibiting a large unique explanatory contribution (partial R² ≈ 0.78), while amenities play a complementary role (partial R² ≈ 0.57). In contrast, economic factors such as price contribute only marginally once experiential and amenity dimensions are accounted for (partial R² ≈ 0.01). A Shapley R² decomposition corroborates this pattern, attributing approximately 70% of the total explained variance to experiential factors. Spatial Durbin Models further show significant spatial clustering and spillovers in satisfaction, with price effects becoming weak or non-significant after accounting for spatial dependence. Overall, the findings suggest that guest satisfaction in peer-to-peer accommodation markets is driven primarily by experiential quality rather than price competition, highlighting the importance of experience-oriented and place-sensitive strategies for platform governance and urban tourism policy.

本研究将点对点住宿中的客人满意度重新定义为一种空间嵌入的体验结果。结合基于变压器的NLP(句子- bert, BERTopic)和多层次和空间计量经济模型,我们使用严格的时间保留验证,分析了109,940条来自1,092个香港房源的Airbnb评论(2011-2023)。体验质量成为客人满意度的主要决定因素,表现出巨大的独特解释贡献(偏R²≈0.78),而便利设施发挥互补作用(偏R²≈0.57)。相比之下,一旦考虑到经验和舒适维度,价格等经济因素的影响就微乎其微了(偏R²≈0.01)。Shapley R²分解证实了这一模式,将总解释方差的大约70%归因于经验因素。空间Durbin模型在满意度上进一步显示出显著的空间聚类和溢出效应,考虑了空间依赖性后,价格效应变得微弱或不显著。总体而言,研究结果表明,点对点住宿市场的客人满意度主要是由体验质量而不是价格竞争驱动的,这凸显了以体验为导向和对地点敏感的策略对平台治理和城市旅游政策的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring Spatial Patterns among Tourist Attractions Using Large Language Models and Social Media Reviews 基于大语言模型和社交媒体评论的旅游景点空间格局研究
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09777-w
Guohua Cao, Sheng Wei, Lei Wang, Lingdan Mao

Understanding spatial patterns among tourist attractions is critical for tourism planning and management. Social media review data offer valuable insights into spatial connections by capturing information on tourists’ perceived relationships and cognitive patterns. However, both the vast volume and unstructured nature of social media review data pose significant challenges for computational analysis and pattern identification. This study leverages the advanced natural language processing capabilities of large language models (LLMs) to systematically interpret social media reviews; combined with complex network theory and geographic information system (GIS) methodologies, it develops a comprehensive framework for analyzing spatial patterns among tourist attractions. By utilizing standardized prompts and structured output formats, LLMs can significantly improve the accuracy and scalability of social media review data analysis. The results of this study indicate that traditional urban historical landmarks remain central nodes in the tourism network, whereas newly developed urban areas are increasingly prominent as intermediate attractions. Analysis of the core-periphery hierarchical structure demonstrates that historical and cultural sites in the old city act as central nodes in the network, while newly developed urban areas are gradually seeing the emergence of intermediate attractions. These structural dynamics contribute to the strategic and efficient allocation of urban tourism resources. Community detection reveals variations in connections between different types of tourist attractions, providing essential support for differentiated approaches to cultural tourism development. The novelty of this study resides in the integration of LLMs with spatial analysis methods, which thereby offers a new approach to social perception analysis in tourism.

了解旅游景点之间的空间格局对旅游规划和管理具有重要意义。社交媒体评论数据通过捕捉游客感知关系和认知模式的信息,为空间联系提供了有价值的见解。然而,社交媒体评论数据的庞大数量和非结构化性质对计算分析和模式识别构成了重大挑战。本研究利用大型语言模型(llm)先进的自然语言处理能力来系统地解释社交媒体评论;结合复杂网络理论和地理信息系统(GIS)方法,构建了旅游景区空间格局分析的综合框架。通过使用标准化的提示和结构化的输出格式,llm可以显著提高社交媒体评论数据分析的准确性和可扩展性。研究结果表明,传统城市历史地标仍然是旅游网络的中心节点,而新开发的城市区域作为中间景点的作用日益突出。通过对核心-外围层次结构的分析,老城区的历史文化遗址在网络中扮演着中心节点的角色,而新开发的城市区域则逐渐出现了中间景点。这些结构动态有助于城市旅游资源的战略性和高效配置。社区检测揭示了不同类型旅游景点之间联系的差异,为文化旅游发展的差异化途径提供了必要的支持。本研究的新颖之处在于将法学硕士与空间分析方法相结合,从而为旅游社会感知分析提供了一种新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Reducing Tourist Exposure to Air Pollution in Hong Kong Through Road Transport Emissions Mitigation 透过减少道路运输废气排放,减少旅客接触香港的空气污染
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09782-z
Xialei Duan, Yefu Gu, Yuanzheng Cui

Substantial exhaust emissions from on-road vehicles threaten air quality in Hong Kong. This is particularly severe for pedestrians and tourists who are directly exposed to roadside pollution that can hardly be dispersed within deep street canyons. To mitigate this risk, a series of emission control strategies have been implemented in recent years, but their effectiveness in terms of tourist exposure reduction has yet to be assessed. In this study, we established a comprehensive framework that adapts both statistical and numerical modeling approaches to investigate the nitrogen oxides (NOx) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration reduction achieved by four emission control measures in the road transport sector in Hong Kong. The benefits of tourist exposure were then estimated through the tourist exposure assessment with geotagged social media data from TripAdvisor. Results demonstrate that the four measures together reduced annual territory-wide PM2.5. and NOx concentrations by approximately 6% and 30%, respectively, at the ambient level. The improvements were more pronounced at roadside locations. Phasing out unqualified diesel commercial vehicles (DCV retirement program) was the most effective measure for air pollution mitigation, whereas the catalytic converter (CC) replacement scheme for liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) vehicles was most effective at minimizing tourist exposure to NOx pollution. All measures show greater benefits in mitigating tourist exposure than resident exposure. These findings provide quantitative evidence that road traffic emission control measures can significantly reduce the health risks to millions of tourists visiting Hong Kong each year. The integrated framework bridges air quality science, machine learning, and tourism geography, offering a transferable methodology for evaluating emission reduction policies in other high-density Asian tourism destinations and supporting evidence-based urban planning for sustainable tourism development.

道路车辆排放的大量废气威胁本港的空气质素。对于直接暴露于路边污染的行人和游客来说,这种情况尤其严重,因为路边的污染很难分散在深深的街道峡谷中。为了减轻这种风险,近年来实施了一系列排放控制策略,但其在减少游客暴露方面的有效性尚未得到评估。在这项研究中,我们建立了一个全面的框架,采用统计和数值模拟的方法来研究香港道路运输业通过四项排放控制措施减少氮氧化物(NOx)和细颗粒物(PM2.5)浓度的效果。然后,通过游客曝光评估和TripAdvisor的地理标记社交媒体数据来估计游客曝光的好处。结果显示,四项措施共同减少了全年的PM2.5。和氮氧化物浓度分别比环境水平降低约6%和30%。这种改善在路边更为明显。逐步淘汰不合格的柴油商用车(DCV退役计划)是缓解空气污染的最有效措施,而液化石油气(LPG)车辆的催化转化器(CC)更换计划是最大限度地减少游客接触氮氧化物污染的最有效措施。所有措施都表明,减少游客暴露比减少居民暴露更有利。这些研究结果提供定量证据,证明道路交通排放控制措施可显著降低每年数百万访港旅客的健康风险。该综合框架将空气质量科学、机器学习和旅游地理联系起来,为评估其他高密度亚洲旅游目的地的减排政策提供了一种可转移的方法,并为可持续旅游发展的循证城市规划提供支持。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-Dimensional Inequalities and Determinants of Neighborhood Facility Accessibility Under the 15-Minute City Framework 15分钟城市框架下社区设施可达性的多维不平等与决定因素
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09776-x
li Yue, Fangfang Xu, Hongbo Zhao, Mengyao Yue

Amid accelerating urbanization and the rise of the “15-minute city” concept, spatial equity of neighborhood facilities is critical for sustainable governance. Existing studies often focus on single facility types and inter-group disparities, overlooking multi-facility inequalities, intra-group heterogeneity, and the social construction of accessibility. Taking Zhengzhou, a megacity in Central China, as a case study, this research integrates point of interest and resident survey data within the “15-minute city” framework. Urban network analysis, together with Lorenz curves and Gini coefficients, is applied to evaluate multi-dimensional inequalities across spatial regions, facility categories, social groups, and between objective accessibility and subjective satisfaction. Meanwhile, a social–spatial analytical framework is constructed, and the Geodetector method is employed to identify key determinants and their nonlinear interactions. Neighborhood facility accessibility follows a core–periphery pattern, with higher accessibility in the core than in the periphery. Objective inequalities generally exceed residents’ satisfaction, reflecting expectation gaps and adaptive behaviors. Intra-group disparities are notable: males, migrants, renters, and high-income groups show greater overall inequality; married residents face more unequal education access, while singles experience greater healthcare disparities, highlighting the limits of average indicators. Accessibility is primarily driven by the built environment and socio-cultural factors, with facility-specific variations: education by student numbers, recreation and commercial facilities by economic conditions, and transport facility by population distribution. Nonlinear interactions with socio-cultural factors further amplify these effects. The social–spatial interaction framework advances understanding of mechanisms shaping neighborhood facility equity and offers insights for more inclusive urban governance.

随着城市化进程的加快和“15分钟城市”概念的兴起,社区设施的空间公平性对可持续治理至关重要。现有研究多侧重于单一设施类型和群体间差异,忽视了多设施不平等、群体内异质性和可达性的社会建构。本研究以中国中部特大城市郑州为例,在“15分钟城市”框架内整合兴趣点和居民调查数据。城市网络分析,结合洛伦兹曲线和基尼系数,评估了空间区域、设施类别、社会群体、客观可达性和主观满意度之间的多维不平等。同时,构建社会空间分析框架,利用地理探测器方法识别关键决定因素及其非线性相互作用。社区设施可达性遵循核心—外围格局,核心区域可达性高于外围区域。客观不平等普遍超过居民满意度,反映了期望差距和适应行为。群体内差异显著:男性、移民、租房者和高收入群体表现出更大的总体不平等;已婚居民的受教育机会更加不平等,单身居民的医疗保健差距更大,凸显了平均指标的局限性。可达性主要由建筑环境和社会文化因素驱动,并具有特定的设施差异:教育受学生人数影响,娱乐和商业设施受经济条件影响,交通设施受人口分布影响。与社会文化因素的非线性相互作用进一步放大了这些影响。社会空间互动框架促进了对社区设施公平形成机制的理解,并为更具包容性的城市治理提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Regions of Everyday Activities: Mapping Accessibility of Public Amenities 确定日常活动区域:绘制公共设施的可达性
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09784-x
Jan Maňas, Jan Kabrhel

Equitable pedestrian access to everyday services is a key test of spatial justice, yet audits tied to administrative units routinely conceal localised shortfalls. This study maps regions of everyday activity (REA) in Czechia by assigning every dwelling with its nearest facility in basic amenities: education, primary healthcare, neighbourhood retail, public space and public transport, assigned into three analytic groups. Contiguous catchments emerge whose overlaps reveal opportunity-dense cores, while single-layer zones expose potential amenity deserts. The resulting national mosaic discloses a duality: multi-functional REA in metropolitan centres contrast with expansive single-group regions across borderlands and internal peripheries. Because this method relies solely on pedestrian street network distance, omitting capacities, opening hours and user preferences, it offers an indicative rather than exhaustive framework. Even so, REA delineation provides planners with a reproducible baseline for pinpointing mixed-use infill, service consolidation or multimodal links that could effectively shrink everyday geographies of disadvantage and guide subsequent qualitative enquiries.

公平的行人使用日常服务是对空间公正的关键考验,然而与行政单位相关的审计通常会掩盖地方的不足。该研究绘制了捷克的日常活动区域(REA),将每个住宅分配到其最近的基本设施:教育、初级保健、邻里零售、公共空间和公共交通,并将其划分为三个分析组。连续的集水区出现,其重叠揭示了机会密集的核心,而单层区域暴露了潜在的舒适沙漠。由此产生的国家马赛克揭示了一种二元性:大都市中心的多功能REA与跨越边境和内部外围的广阔单一群体区域形成对比。由于该方法仅依赖步行街网络距离,忽略了容量、开放时间和用户偏好,因此它提供了一个指示性的框架,而不是详尽的框架。即便如此,REA的描述为规划者提供了一个可重复的基线,用于精确定位混合用途填充,服务整合或多模式链接,可以有效地缩小日常地理劣势,并指导后续的定性调查。
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引用次数: 0
How Migration Origins Shape Household Food Security: Comparing Rural–Urban and Urban–Urban Migrants in China 移民来源如何影响家庭粮食安全:比较中国的城乡和城市移民
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09778-9
Jie Chen, Zhenzhong Si, Ting Luo, Taiyang Zhong

China’s massive internal migration has profound implications for food security, particularly among migrant communities. Yet, it remains unclear whether and in what ways migrants’ place of origin, rural or urban, affects their household food security. This study analyzes how migration origin impacts household food security through path analysis based on survey data collected in Nanjing, China in 2022 and 2023. The study shows that the overall level of food security of migrant households was significantly lower than that of local households. The level of food security of rural-urban migrant households was lower than urban-urban migrant households and local households. We identified key determinants of household food security including income, formal or informal employment, length of residence, and outward remittances. Policy responses must explicitly recognize the structural disadvantages faced by rural-origin migrants and the associated disparities in food security linked to migrants’ origins, rather than treating migrants as a homogeneous group.

中国大规模的国内移民对粮食安全有着深远的影响,尤其是在移民社区。然而,尚不清楚移民的原籍地(农村或城市)是否以及以何种方式影响其家庭粮食安全。本研究基于2022年和2023年在中国南京市收集的调查数据,通过路径分析分析了移民来源对家庭粮食安全的影响。研究表明,流动人口家庭的总体粮食安全水平明显低于当地家庭。农村-城市流动人口家庭的粮食安全水平低于城市-城市流动人口家庭和当地家庭。我们确定了家庭粮食安全的关键决定因素,包括收入、正式或非正式就业、居住时间和对外汇款。政策对策必须明确认识到农村移徙者面临的结构性劣势以及与移徙者来源有关的粮食安全方面的相关差异,而不是将移徙者视为一个同质群体。
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引用次数: 0
Tourism Accommodation and Housing Affordability: Insight From a Geo-spatial Analysis in Athens and Thessaloniki, Greece 旅游住宿和住房负担能力:来自希腊雅典和塞萨洛尼基地理空间分析的洞察
IF 1.9 4区 社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12061-025-09771-2
Kostas Gourzis, Pavlos Sermpezis, Dimitris Psarologos, Maria Papadimitriou, Stelios Gialis

Since Airbnb’s launch in 2008, the for‑profit housing‑sharing economy has been linked to overtourism and worsening housing affordability worldwide. Against this backdrop, the paper at hand examines spatial links between tourism accommodation and housing affordability in Greece’s two largest cities, Athens and Thessaloniki, using detailed neighborhood‑level data on Airbnb listings, conventional hotels, and average residential rents and sale prices. Specifically, the paper first maps the short‑term rental market and the residential rental market separately, then examines their interlinkages through spatial analysis, and finally employs spatial and non‑spatial regressions to disentangle these relationships. Its findings highlight that the spatial patterns of these two markets differ profoundly between the two cities under study, yet consistently show a positive association between high densities of short-term rentals and higher residential rents. Going beyond the level of granularity of most prior studies, the findings document how this relationship varies in nature and intensity across parts of each city, while also emphasizing the role of nightly Airbnb prices. Finally, the analysis confirms a strong link between residential rents and sale prices which—alongside expected building and neighbourhood effects and established price‑to‑rent ratios—brings attention to the growing influence of buy‑to‑rent investment and housing policies. Overall, the paper nuances common conclusions of the relevant literature around short‑term rentals and residential uses, contributes to the sparse literature on these dynamics in Greece, and enriches debates on speculative real estate investment.

自2008年Airbnb推出以来,以盈利为目的的住房共享经济一直与全球过度旅游和住房负担能力恶化联系在一起。在此背景下,本文利用Airbnb房源、传统酒店、平均住宅租金和销售价格等详细的社区数据,研究了希腊两个最大城市雅典和塞萨洛尼基的旅游住宿和住房负担能力之间的空间联系。具体而言,本文首先分别绘制了短期租赁市场和住宅租赁市场的地图,然后通过空间分析考察了它们之间的相互联系,最后使用空间和非空间回归来解开这些关系。其研究结果强调,这两个市场的空间格局在研究的两个城市之间存在巨大差异,但始终表明高密度的短期租金和较高的住宅租金之间存在正相关关系。研究结果超越了之前大多数研究的粒度水平,记录了这种关系在每个城市不同地区的性质和强度上是如何变化的,同时也强调了Airbnb每晚价格的作用。最后,分析证实了住宅租金和销售价格之间的紧密联系,这与预期的建筑和社区效应以及既定的价租比一起,引起了人们对购买对租赁投资和住房政策日益增长的影响的关注。总体而言,本文对有关短期租金和住宅用途的相关文献的共同结论进行了细微的区分,有助于对希腊这些动态的稀疏文献做出贡献,并丰富了关于投机性房地产投资的辩论。
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引用次数: 0
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Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy
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