Predictive Limitations of the Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score: A Retrospective Analysis of Mortality in Elderly Patients with Multiple Traumas and Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL Diagnostics Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI:10.3390/diagnostics15050586
Sebeom Jeon, Gil Jae Lee, Mina Lee, Kang Kook Choi, Seung Hwan Lee, Jayun Cho, Byungchul Yu
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Abstract

Background/Objectives: The Geriatric Trauma Outcome Score (GTOS) is used to predict in-hospital mortality in geriatric patients with trauma. However, its applicability to elderly patients with multiple traumas and severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) remains poorly understood. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the GTOS in elderly patients with multiple traumas and TBI and assess its performance in patients with mild and severe TBI. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1283 geriatric multiple trauma patients (aged ≥ 65 years) treated at a regional trauma center from 2019 to 2023. Patients were stratified into mild (head Abbreviated Injury Scale [AIS] ≤ 3) and severe (head AIS ≥ 4) TBI groups. GTOS values were calculated for each patient, and predicted mortality was compared with in-hospital mortality. GTOS predictive accuracy was assessed by analyzing the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results: Patients had a median Injury Severity Score of 18 (interquartile range: 10-25); 33.3% of patients received red blood cell transfusions within 24 h. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 17.9%; GTOS predicted a mortality rate of 17.6% ± 0.17. The GTOS accurately predicted the in-hospital mortality in the entire cohort, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.798. Predictive accuracy diminished for patients with severe TBI (AUC = 0.657), underestimating actual mortality (39.5% vs. 28.8% predicted). Conclusions: While the GTOS remains a useful tool for predicting in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with multiple traumas, it consistently underestimates mortality risk in those with severe TBI. Therefore, applying the GTOS in this patient subgroup warrants careful consideration.

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来源期刊
Diagnostics
Diagnostics Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology-Clinical Biochemistry
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
8.30%
发文量
2699
审稿时长
19.64 days
期刊介绍: Diagnostics (ISSN 2075-4418) is an international scholarly open access journal on medical diagnostics. It publishes original research articles, reviews, communications and short notes on the research and development of medical diagnostics. There is no restriction on the length of the papers. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical research in as much detail as possible. Full experimental and/or methodological details must be provided for research articles.
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