Regional Shift in the Peak Time of Maximum Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in Recent Decades

IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Geophysical Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-03-17 DOI:10.1029/2024GL112697
Kandula V. Subrahmanyam, Prashant Kumar, Narendra Reddy Nelli, Sampelli Anoop, M. V. Ramana, M. Rajeevan, Prakash Chauhan
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Abstract

Global warming is causing more extreme precipitation events and variability in rainfall patterns, which are affecting the timing of peak rainfall occurrence and impacting the hydrological cycle in evolving climates. This study examines spatial rainfall trends across India during the Indian Summer Monsoon period from 2001 to 2020, utilizing GSMaP_ISRO data. Analysis reveals a significant rise of 2 mm/day in rainfall over west central India from 2011 to 2020. Additionally, an investigation into the timing of peak rainfall demonstrates an early (late) peak over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (central India) in recent years, likely influenced by changes in aerosol loading. The present results suggest a significant shift in rainfall peak time with potential implications for agriculture, hydrology, and disaster management.

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近几十年来印度夏季风最大降水峰值时间的区域变化
全球变暖正在导致更多的极端降水事件和降雨模式的变化,这正在影响降雨峰值发生的时间,并影响不断变化的气候中的水文循环。利用GSMaP_ISRO数据,研究了2001 - 2020年印度夏季风期间印度的空间降水趋势。分析显示,从2011年到2020年,印度中西部的降雨量显著增加了2毫米/天。此外,对峰值降雨时间的调查表明,近年来印度-恒河平原(印度中部)出现了早(晚)峰值,可能受到气溶胶负荷变化的影响。目前的研究结果表明,降雨峰值时间的显著变化对农业、水文和灾害管理具有潜在的影响。
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来源期刊
Geophysical Research Letters
Geophysical Research Letters 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
9.00
自引率
9.60%
发文量
1588
审稿时长
2.2 months
期刊介绍: Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) publishes high-impact, innovative, and timely research on major scientific advances in all the major geoscience disciplines. Papers are communications-length articles and should have broad and immediate implications in their discipline or across the geosciences. GRLmaintains the fastest turn-around of all high-impact publications in the geosciences and works closely with authors to ensure broad visibility of top papers.
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