Prognostic prediction for newly diagnosed patients with idiopathic interstitial pneumonia: JIPS Registry (NEJ030)

Abstract

Background

Prognostic factors in patients with newly diagnosed idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP) have rarely been analyzed using prospective data. This study investigated prognostic factors in patients with IIP.

Methods

Central interstitial lung disease (ILD) experts established the diagnoses for fibrotic ILD. Prognostic factors using baseline data, including the pathological confidence level of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) assessed on a 0%–100% linear analog scale by high-resolution CT (HRCT), pulmonary function tests, and patient-reported outcomes were investigated.

Results

Overall, 866 eligible patients were registered. Patients with unclassifiable idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (n = 272) survived longer than those with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) (n = 469) (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.67; [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47–0.95]; P = 0.022); however, IPF as IIPs classification was not a significant prognostic factor at diagnosis (P = 0.577). UIP pattern on HRCT, age, body mass index, forced vital capacity, diffusing capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide, and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire were risk factors for survival (P < 0.05). Patients with proposed progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) had poorer prognoses than those without proposed PPF (HR = 5.63; [95% CI: 3.17–10.00]; P < 0.001). Patients with progressive fibrosing ILD (PF-ILD) had poorer prognoses than those without PF-ILD (HR = 7.85; [95% CI: 3.38–18.3]; P < 0.001).

Conclusions

A prospective registry of patients with newly diagnosed IIP provided evidence that the UIP pattern on HRCT by analog scale was a prognostic predictor. Proposed PPF and PF-ILD were valuable for discriminating prognosis. (JIPS Registry, ClinTrials.gov, NCT03041623).