Simon K. Camponuri, Alexandra K. Heaney, Gail Sondermeyer Cooksey, Duc J. Vugia, Seema Jain, Daniel L. Swain, John Balmes, Justin V. Remais, Jennifer R. Head
{"title":"Recent and Forecasted Increases in Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Linked to Hydroclimatic Swings, California, USA","authors":"Simon K. Camponuri, Alexandra K. Heaney, Gail Sondermeyer Cooksey, Duc J. Vugia, Seema Jain, Daniel L. Swain, John Balmes, Justin V. Remais, Jennifer R. Head","doi":"10.3201/eid3105.241338","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In 2023, California reported near–record high coccidioidomycosis cases after a dramatic transition from drought to heavy precipitation. Using an ensemble model, we forecasted 12,244 cases statewide during April 1, 2024–March 31, 2025, a 62% increase over cases reported 2 years before and on par with case counts for 2023.</p>","PeriodicalId":11595,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Infectious Diseases","volume":"69 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Emerging Infectious Diseases","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3201/eid3105.241338","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"IMMUNOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In 2023, California reported near–record high coccidioidomycosis cases after a dramatic transition from drought to heavy precipitation. Using an ensemble model, we forecasted 12,244 cases statewide during April 1, 2024–March 31, 2025, a 62% increase over cases reported 2 years before and on par with case counts for 2023.
期刊介绍:
Emerging Infectious Diseases is a monthly open access journal published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The primary goal of this peer-reviewed journal is to advance the global recognition of both new and reemerging infectious diseases, while also enhancing our understanding of the underlying factors that contribute to disease emergence, prevention, and elimination.
Targeted towards professionals in the field of infectious diseases and related sciences, the journal encourages diverse contributions from experts in academic research, industry, clinical practice, public health, as well as specialists in economics, social sciences, and other relevant disciplines. By fostering a collaborative approach, Emerging Infectious Diseases aims to facilitate interdisciplinary dialogue and address the multifaceted challenges posed by infectious diseases.