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Adaptive Design for Phase II/III Platform Trial of Lassa Fever Therapeutics 拉沙热疗法II/III期平台试验的适应性设计
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.240251
Josephine Bourner, Michel Vaillant, Alex Paddy Abdel Salam, Marie Jaspard, Camille Fritzell, Shevin T. Jacob, Tom E. Fletcher, Michael Ramharter, Nnennaya Ajayi, Sylvanus Okogbenin, Cyril Erameh, Donald Grant, Robert Samuels, Oladele Oluwafemi Ayodeji, Armand Sprecher, Bronner P. Gonçalves, Tansy Edwards, Piero Olliaro

The current recommendation for treating Lassa fever with ribavirin is supported only by weak evidence. Given the persistent effects in areas with endemic transmission and epidemic potential, there is an urgent need to reassess ribavirin and investigate other potential therapeutic candidates; however, a robust clinical trial method adapted to Lassa fever epidemiology has not yet been established. We propose an adaptive phase II/III multicenter randomized controlled platform trial that uses a superiority framework with an equal allocation ratio and accounts for challenges selecting the primary end point and estimating the target sample size by using an interim analysis.

目前用利巴韦林治疗拉沙热的建议只有微弱的证据支持。鉴于利巴韦林在具有地方性传播和流行潜力的地区的持续作用,迫切需要重新评估利巴韦林并研究其他潜在的治疗候选药物;然而,尚未建立适合拉沙热流行病学的强有力的临床试验方法。我们提出了一项自适应II/III期多中心随机对照平台试验,该试验使用具有平等分配比例的优势框架,并考虑到选择主要终点和通过使用中期分析估计目标样本量的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Global Epidemiology of Outbreaks of Unknown Cause Identified by Open-Source Intelligence, 2020–2022 开源智能识别未知原因爆发的全球流行病学,2020-2022
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.240533
Damian Honeyman, Deepti Gurdasani, Adriana Notaras, Zubair Akhtar, Jared Edgeworth, Aye Moa, Abrar Ahmad Chughtai, Ashley Quigley, Samsung Lim, Chandini Raina MacIntyre

Epidemic surveillance using traditional approaches is dependent on case ascertainment and is delayed. Open-source intelligence (OSINT)–based syndromic surveillance can overcome limitations of delayed surveillance and poor case ascertainment, providing early warnings to guide outbreak response. It can identify outbreaks of unknown cause for which no other global surveillance exists. Using the artificial intelligence–based OSINT early warning system EPIWATCH, we describe the global epidemiology of 310 outbreaks of unknown cause that occurred December 31, 2019–January 1, 2023. The outbreaks were associated with 75,968 reported human cases and 4,235 deaths. We identified where OSINT signaled outbreaks earlier than official sources and before diagnoses were made. We identified possible signals of known disease outbreaks with poor case ascertainment. A cause was subsequently reported for only 14% of outbreaks analyzed; the percentage was substantially lower in lower/upper-middle–income economies than high-income economies, highlighting the utility of OSINT-based syndromic surveillance for early warnings, particularly in resource-poor settings.

使用传统方法进行流行病监测依赖于病例确定,并且具有延迟性。基于开放源码情报(OSINT)的综合征监测可以克服监测延迟和病例确定性差的局限性,提供早期预警,指导疫情应对。它可以识别原因不明的疫情,而其他全球监测手段无法识别这些疫情。利用基于人工智能的 OSINT 早期预警系统 EPIWATCH,我们描述了 2019 年 12 月 31 日至 2023 年 1 月 1 日发生的 310 起不明原因疫情的全球流行病学。这些疫情与 75,968 例报告的人类病例和 4,235 例死亡有关。我们确定了在哪些情况下,OSINT 比官方来源更早地发出了疫情信号,而且是在做出诊断之前。我们发现了已知疾病爆发的可能信号,但病例确诊率较低。在所分析的疫情中,只有 14% 的疫情随后报告了病因;中低收入/中上收入经济体的这一比例大大低于高收入经济体,这凸显了基于 OSINT 的症候群监测在预警方面的作用,尤其是在资源匮乏的环境中。
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引用次数: 0
Arbovirus Epidemics as Global Health Imperative, Africa, 2023 虫媒病毒流行病是全球卫生的当务之急,非洲,2023
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.240754
Salifou T. Bangoura, Alpha-Kabinet Keita, Maladho Diaby, Sidikiba Sidibé, Frederic Le-Marcis, Saidouba C. Camara, Stéphanie Maltais, Kadio J.J.O. Kadio, Eric D’Ortenzio, Alioune Camara, Eric Delaporte, Alexandre Delamou, Philippe Vanhems, Michèle Ottmann, Nagham Khanafer, Abdoulaye Touré

Arboviruses represent a major cause of illness in Africa and have the potential to trigger widespread epidemics. We present data on arbovirus epidemics in Africa in 2023 and demonstrate the need for global public health authorities to intensify efforts in the surveillance and control of arbovirus diseases. Data were collected from the World Health Organization Weekly Bulletin on Outbreaks and Other Emergencies, Africa Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Weekly Event Based Surveillance Report, and other online sources. In 2023, a total of 7 arboviruses were responsible for 29 outbreaks across 25 countries in Africa, 22 of which occurred in West Africa; the outbreaks resulted in 19,569 confirmed cases and 820 deaths. Arbovirus epidemics in Africa pose a threat not only to public health within the continent but also globally, underscoring the urgent need for substantial investment in arbovirus surveillance, research, and preparedness capacities in Africa to prevent and respond to health crises effectively.

虫媒病毒是非洲的主要致病因素,有可能引发大范围的流行病。我们提供了 2023 年非洲虫媒病毒流行病的数据,并说明全球公共卫生当局有必要加强对虫媒病毒疾病的监测和控制。数据收集自世界卫生组织《疫情和其他紧急情况每周简报》、非洲疾病控制和预防中心《基于事件的每周监测报告》以及其他在线来源。2023 年,共有 7 种虫媒病毒导致非洲 25 个国家爆发 29 起疫情,其中 22 起发生在西非;疫情导致 19569 例确诊病例和 820 例死亡。非洲的虫媒病毒疫情不仅对非洲大陆的公共卫生构成威胁,而且对全球也构成威胁,这突出表明迫切需要对非洲的虫媒病毒监测、研究和防备能力进行大量投资,以有效预防和应对卫生危机。
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引用次数: 0
Lack of Competence of US Mosquito Species for Circulating Oropouche Virus 美国蚊子缺乏传播口腔病毒的能力
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-21 DOI: 10.3201/eid3103.241886
Anne F. Payne, Jessica Stout, Peter Dumoulin, Timothy Locksmith, Lea A. Heberlein, Molly Mitchell, Arnold Rodriguez-Hilario, Alan P. Dupuis, Alexander T. Ciota

Given recent outbreaks of Oropouche virus in Latin America and >100 confirmed travel-associated cases in the United States, we evaluated the competence of US vectors, including Aedes albopictus, Culex quinquefasciatus, Culex pipiens, and Anopheles quadrimaculatus mosquitoes. Results with historic and recent isolates suggest transmission potential for those species is low.

考虑到最近在拉丁美洲暴发的欧罗波切病毒和在美国确认的100例旅行相关病例,我们评估了美国媒介的能力,包括白纹伊蚊、致倦库蚊、淡色库蚊和四方按蚊。历史和最近分离株的结果表明,这些物种的传播潜力很低。
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引用次数: 0
Venezuelan Equine Encephalitis Virus Infection in Nonhuman Primate, Guatemala, 2023 非人类灵长类动物中的委内瑞拉马脑炎病毒感染,危地马拉,2023年
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.241484
Wendy K. Jo, Marta Piche-Ovares, Lincoln Carranza, Carlo Fischer, Sebastian Brünink, Laura Paul, Alejandro Morales, Fernando Martinez, Jan Felix Drexler

We isolated Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV) subtype IE phylogenetically related to Gulf Coast strains in a spider monkey (Ateles geoffroyi) released from a rescue center in Guatemala. Serologic testing of 118 monkeys indicated no additional VEEV infections. Infection of a primate warrants intensified surveillance of VEEV transmission cycles in North America.

我们从危地马拉救援中心释放的一只蜘蛛猴(Ateles geoffroyi)中分离出委内瑞拉马脑炎病毒(VEEV)亚型IE,其系统发育与墨西哥湾沿岸菌株相关。对118只猴子进行血清学检测,未发现新的VEEV感染。灵长类动物的感染需要加强对北美VEEV传播周期的监测。
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引用次数: 0
Detection of Chronic Wasting Disease Prions in Raw, Processed, and Cooked Elk Meat, Texas, USA 美国德克萨斯州麋鹿肉生、加工和煮熟中慢性消耗性疾病朊病毒的检测
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.240906
Rebeca Benavente, Fraser Brydon, Francisca Bravo-Risi, Paulina Soto, J. Hunter Reed, Mitch Lockwood, Glenn Telling, Marcelo A. Barria, Rodrigo Morales

We describe chronic wasting disease (CWD) prion detection in raw and cooked meat from a CWD-positive elk. We found limited zoonotic potential in CWD prions from those meat products. Nonetheless, risk for transmission to humans is still unclear, and monitoring of circulating and emerging CWD prion strains for zoonotic potential is warranted.

我们描述了在一只 CWD 阳性麋鹿的生肉和熟肉中检测到慢性消耗性疾病(CWD)朊病毒的情况。我们发现,这些肉制品中的 CWD 朊病毒人畜共患病的可能性有限。尽管如此,向人类传播的风险仍不明确,因此有必要对流通的和新出现的 CWD 朊病毒菌株进行人畜共患病潜能监测。
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引用次数: 0
Eastern Africa Origin of SAT2 Topotype XIV Foot-and-Mouth Disease Virus Outbreaks, Western Asia, 2023 东非SAT2型十四型口蹄疫病毒暴发的起源,西亚,2023
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.240395
Antonello Di Nardo, Andrew E. Shaw, Mathilde Gondard, Jemma Wadsworth, Guillaume Girault, Krupali Parekh, Anna Ludi, Valerie Mioulet, Cindy Bernelin-Cottet, Hayley M. Hicks, Noemi Polo, Abdulnaci Bulut, Unal Parlak, Daniel Gizaw, Mustafa Ababneh, Maisa Al Ameer, Layth M.S. Abdulrasool, Fajur S. Al Saloom, Wafa A. Al-Rawahi, Nick J. Knowles, Labib Bakkali-Kassimi, Donald P. King

We describe detection of SAT2 topotype XIV foot-and-mouth disease viruses in western Asia during 2022–2023. Sequences show the viruses originated in eastern Africa and were introduced into western Asia on >1 occasion. The rapid spread in naive animals highlights risks for onward transmission and potential endemicity in Asia.

我们描述了2022-2023年在西亚检测到的SAT2拓扑型XIV口蹄疫病毒。序列显示该病毒起源于东非,并在一次事件中传入西亚。在未发病动物中的迅速传播突出了在亚洲进一步传播和潜在流行的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Ixodes scapularis Tick Parasitizing Dog in Dawson County, Montana, USA, 2023 2023年美国蒙大拿州道森县犬身上的肩胛骨蜱
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.241308
Philip E. Stewart, Justin B. Lack, Marni Rolston, Kimmo Virtaneva, Paul A. Beare, Craig M. Martens, Marshall E. Bloom, Tom G. Schwan

In October 2023, a partially engorged female Ixodes tick was removed from a dog in Bozeman, Montana, USA, that had recently spent time in eastern Montana. The tick was identified as I. scapularis according to morphologic characteristics and genomic sequencing, suggesting an expanded geographic distribution requiring continued public health surveillance.

2023年10月,美国蒙大拿州波兹曼的一只狗身上取出了一只部分充血的雌性伊蚊蜱,这只狗最近在蒙大拿州东部度过了一段时间。根据形态特征和基因组测序,该蜱被确定为肩胛骨蜱,表明其地理分布扩大,需要继续进行公共卫生监测。
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引用次数: 0
Burkholderia pseudomallei Sequence Type 46 Transmission from Asia to Australia 伪马利氏伯克霍尔德菌序列46型从亚洲到澳大利亚的传播
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.241385
Ella M. Meumann, Mirjam Kaestli, Jessica R. Webb, Vanessa Rigas, Celeste Woerle, Mark Mayo, Bart J. Currie

Melioidosis is caused by the environmental pathogen Burkholderia pseudomallei. Among 1,331 patients with melioidosis during 1989–2023 in the Darwin Prospective Melioidosis Study in Australia, we identified 6 locally acquired cases caused by B. pseudomallei sequence type 46. Because of global transmission and expansion of endemicity, clinicians should increase awareness of melioidosis.

类鼻疽是由环境致病菌假马利氏伯克氏菌引起的。在澳大利亚Darwin前瞻性类鼻疽研究中,1989-2023年1331例类鼻疽患者中,我们发现了6例由46型假假芽孢杆菌引起的本地获得性病例。由于全球传播和流行的扩大,临床医生应提高对类鼻疽病的认识。
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引用次数: 0
2000 Years of Pandemics: Past, Present, and Future 2000年的流行病:过去、现在和未来
IF 11.8 2区 医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.3201/eid3102.240798
Nkuchia M. M’ikanatha, Keith Hamilton
Books and Media
书籍和媒体
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Emerging Infectious Diseases
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