Opportunism in crisis: Big baths and COVID-19 disclosure

IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-11 DOI:10.1016/j.irfa.2025.104134
Meng Guo, Danglun Luo, Chen Liu
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Abstract

We investigate the tools that managers use to conceal big baths in times of crisis. Our study is based on 7623 firm-year observations of A-share listed companies in China during the COVID-19 pandemic. The empirical evidence suggests that during the COVID-19 pandemic, managers are more likely to take advantage of the crisis to engage in big baths. Specifically, managers engaging in big baths tend to convey a more negative tone regarding the pandemic and utilize the pandemic for self-serving attribution in financial reports. Moreover, managers have a heightened motivation to use COVID-19 disclosures to conceal big baths driven by stronger opportunistic intent, particularly those occurring in the fourth quarter, leading to negative earnings surprises, or those involving non-goodwill asset accounts. The correlation between big baths and a negative pandemic tone is less pronounced for firms with greater transparency in disclosure, higher analyst attention, CEO duality, and higher management ownership. Furthermore, we find that using the COVID-19 pandemic as a cover can help mitigate the stock price crash risks associated with big baths. The findings draw stakeholder attention to the opportunistic nature of earnings manipulation and discretionary disclosures during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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危机中的机会主义:大浴场和COVID-19披露
我们调查了管理者在危机时期用来隐藏大浴池的工具。我们的研究基于新冠肺炎大流行期间中国a股上市公司7623家公司的年度观察结果。经验证据表明,在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,管理人员更有可能利用危机进行大洗浴。具体来说,参与“大浴场”的管理人员倾向于对疫情传达更消极的语气,并利用疫情在财务报告中为自己服务。此外,基金经理有更大的动机利用COVID-19的披露来掩盖由更强烈的机会主义意图驱动的大浴场,特别是在第四季度发生的那些导致负收益意外的浴场,或涉及非商誉资产账户的浴场。对于信息披露透明度更高、分析师关注度更高、CEO双重性更高、管理层持股比例更高的公司,大浴场与负面疫情基调之间的相关性不那么明显。此外,我们发现,以COVID-19大流行为借口,有助于减轻与大浴场相关的股价崩盘风险。调查结果提请利益相关者注意在COVID-19大流行期间操纵收益和酌情披露的机会主义性质。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
9.80%
发文量
366
期刊介绍: The International Review of Financial Analysis (IRFA) is an impartial refereed journal designed to serve as a platform for high-quality financial research. It welcomes a diverse range of financial research topics and maintains an unbiased selection process. While not limited to U.S.-centric subjects, IRFA, as its title suggests, is open to valuable research contributions from around the world.
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