{"title":"Anticipatory effects of competition on confidence and risk preference","authors":"Stephen L. Cheung , Vindesh Nadan","doi":"10.1016/j.socec.2025.102367","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study anticipatory changes in confidence and risk preference aroused by the prospect of future competition. Participants in our treatment group are told they will later participate in a tournament, while those in the control group are told they will work for a piece rate. Beliefs over relative ability and risk attitudes are measured prior to this prospective task. We find no anticipatory effect on confidence in relative ability, but a significant effect on risk preference. Specifically, the treatment increases risk aversion in males, but not in females, such that the conventional gender difference in risk preference is neutralized.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51637,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics","volume":"116 ","pages":"Article 102367"},"PeriodicalIF":1.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214804325000345","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
We study anticipatory changes in confidence and risk preference aroused by the prospect of future competition. Participants in our treatment group are told they will later participate in a tournament, while those in the control group are told they will work for a piece rate. Beliefs over relative ability and risk attitudes are measured prior to this prospective task. We find no anticipatory effect on confidence in relative ability, but a significant effect on risk preference. Specifically, the treatment increases risk aversion in males, but not in females, such that the conventional gender difference in risk preference is neutralized.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly the Journal of Socio-Economics) welcomes submissions that deal with various economic topics but also involve issues that are related to other social sciences, especially psychology, or use experimental methods of inquiry. Thus, contributions in behavioral economics, experimental economics, economic psychology, and judgment and decision making are especially welcome. The journal is open to different research methodologies, as long as they are relevant to the topic and employed rigorously. Possible methodologies include, for example, experiments, surveys, empirical work, theoretical models, meta-analyses, case studies, and simulation-based analyses. Literature reviews that integrate findings from many studies are also welcome, but they should synthesize the literature in a useful manner and provide substantial contribution beyond what the reader could get by simply reading the abstracts of the cited papers. In empirical work, it is important that the results are not only statistically significant but also economically significant. A high contribution-to-length ratio is expected from published articles and therefore papers should not be unnecessarily long, and short articles are welcome. Articles should be written in a manner that is intelligible to our generalist readership. Book reviews are generally solicited but occasionally unsolicited reviews will also be published. Contact the Book Review Editor for related inquiries.
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