Multi-factor coupling risk assessment method in relation to coal mine gas explosion

IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-04 DOI:10.1016/j.jlp.2025.105648
Huimin Guo, Shugang Li, Lianhua Cheng
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Abstract

The coal mine gas explosion accident is due to the interaction of risk factors. Considering the weaknesses in the multi-factor coupling risk measurement and control in the evolution process of gas explosion accidents, this study proposes a multi-factor coupling risk measurement method for gas explosion employing case analysis, on-site investigation, and theoretical research. Firstly, the grounded theory was used to analyze 125 cases of large and above gas explosion accidents, and a gas explosion risk assessment index system was established. Then, combined with the risk coupling theory, the interaction between risk factors was analyzed, and a multi-factor coupling risk assessment model for gas explosion based on the C-OWA operator and interaction matrix was constructed. Finally, the coal mine is selected for on-site inspection and application. The results show that the calculation results of the assessment model are consistent with the actual situation on site, which has certain rationality and feasibility. In addition, this method can avoid the occurrence of gas explosion accidents since the single risk factor does not break through the threshold, and the coupling risk value exceeds the system threshold, which plays an important role in the advanced control and prediction of coal mine gas explosion risk.
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煤矿瓦斯爆炸多因素耦合风险评价方法
煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故是危险因素相互作用的结果。针对瓦斯爆炸事故演化过程中多因素耦合风险测量与控制的不足,采用案例分析、现场调查和理论研究相结合的方法,提出了瓦斯爆炸多因素耦合风险测量方法。首先,运用扎根理论对125起大型及以上瓦斯爆炸事故进行了分析,建立了瓦斯爆炸危险性评价指标体系;然后,结合风险耦合理论,分析了危险因素之间的相互作用,构建了基于C-OWA算子和相互作用矩阵的瓦斯爆炸多因素耦合风险评估模型。最后选定该煤矿进行现场考察和应用。结果表明,评价模型的计算结果与现场实际情况一致,具有一定的合理性和可行性。此外,该方法由于单一风险因素未突破阈值,耦合风险值超过系统阈值,避免了瓦斯爆炸事故的发生,在煤矿瓦斯爆炸风险的超前控制与预测中发挥了重要作用。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
14.30%
发文量
226
审稿时长
52 days
期刊介绍: The broad scope of the journal is process safety. Process safety is defined as the prevention and mitigation of process-related injuries and damage arising from process incidents involving fire, explosion and toxic release. Such undesired events occur in the process industries during the use, storage, manufacture, handling, and transportation of highly hazardous chemicals.
期刊最新文献
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