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Explosion parameters of aviation kerosene/nano aluminum mixture at initial high temperature and pressure 航空煤油/纳米铝混合物在初始高温高压下的爆炸参数
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105919
Yue Wang , Zhiguo Chang , Qi Zhang
JP10 (95(w)%) and nm aluminum (5(w)%) in air mist, as a special fuel used in underground mining of coalbed methane, the explosion hazard is the basis of safety design. In this study, the explosion pressure, the maximum rate of explosion pressure rise and the lower limit of the explosion concentration of aviation kerosene JP10 (95(w)%) and nm-aluminum powder (5(w)%) mist under different initial pressures and initial temperatures were observed by using a 20 L mist explosion experimental device. Change laws of the experimental peak explosion pressures of the JP10 (95(w)%) and nm aluminum (5(w)%) in air mist with concentration, with initial pressure and initial temperature have been found respectively. The experimental peak explosion pressures of the JP10 (95(w)%) and nm aluminum (5(w)%) in air mist at the concentration 500 g/m3 increase with the initial pressure and decrease as the initial temperature increases. The experimental lower explosion concentration limits of the fuel (JP10, 95(w)% nm aluminum, 5(w)% in air) mist decrease as the initial temperature increases within the initial temperature range from 30 °C to 80 °C.The lower explosion limit of the fuel-air mixture JP10 (95w%) and nm AL powder (5w%) decreases as the initial pressure increases from 0.1 MPa to 0.3 MPa.
JP10 (95(w)%)和nm铝(5(w)%)作为煤层气地下开采的特殊燃料,其爆炸危险性是安全设计的依据。本研究采用20 L雾剂爆炸实验装置,对航空煤油JP10 (95(w)%)和纳米铝粉(5(w)%)雾剂在不同初始压力和初始温度下的爆炸压力、最大爆炸压力上升率和爆炸浓度下限进行了观测。得到了JP10 (95(w)%)和nm铝(5(w)%)在空气雾中实验峰值爆炸压力随浓度、初始压力和初始温度的变化规律。在500 g/m3浓度的空气雾中,JP10 (95(w)%)和nm铝(5(w)%)的实验峰值爆炸压力随初始压力增大而增大,随初始温度升高而减小。在30 ~ 80℃的初始温度范围内,燃料(JP10, 95(w)% nm铝,5(w)%空气)雾的实验爆炸下限随着初始温度的升高而降低。当初始压力从0.1 MPa增加到0.3 MPa时,JP10 (95w%)和nm AL粉(5w%)的混合气爆炸下限降低。
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引用次数: 0
Research on the fire behavior of steel welding single disk internal floating roof with the large-scale fire experiment: structural defect and its optimizing strategy in fire 大型火灾试验研究钢制焊接单盘内浮顶的火灾行为:结构缺陷及其火灾优化策略
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105913
Wei Liu , Hang Ye , Shuang Wang , Zejiang Zhang , Ji Xiao
In this study, steel welding single disk IFR arranged with the penetrating damage to the body and partial loss in the rim seal system has been designed as the experimental model at the diameter of 4.7 m according to API Pub 2021A-1998 and API 653, in order to simulate its most adverse situation in the real fire. The large-scale fire experiment has been conducted for the model, so as to investigate the fire development and burning behavior of the IFR, and further determine its structural defect and the optimizing strategy in fire. Fire process and temperature rise of the IFR model have been recorded and monitored as a function of time. Influence of the corrective measures on the fire behavior of IFR has been also analyzed and discussed here. Para-full surface fire has been first discovered and proposed to describe the characteristic burning behavior of this IFR. The results indicate that the traditional model exhibits para-full surface fire in the tank after 20min with the highest maximum temperature rise of 958 °C at 1050s, while the modified model with the corrective measures could prohibit the occurrence of para-full surface fire, restrict the temperature rise of the body and its surroundings below 900 °C, and stop the spread of fire in the storage tank for a period of 2 h, which is 6.0 times higher than the traditional model. And the related optimizing strategy has been proposed for the traditional steel welding single disk IFR in design and use.
本研究按照API Pub 2021A-1998和API 653的要求,设计了直径为4.7 m的钢制焊接单盘IFR,以模拟其在真实火灾中的最不利情况。对该模型进行了大型火灾实验,研究了IFR的火灾发展和燃烧行为,进一步确定了IFR的结构缺陷和火灾中的优化策略。记录和监测了IFR模型的火灾过程和温升作为时间的函数。文中还分析和讨论了纠正措施对IFR燃烧性能的影响。准全面火是第一次被发现并被提出用来描述该IFR的燃烧特性。结果表明,传统的模型展览para-full表面火槽后20分钟最大温升最高的1050年代的958°C,而修改后的模型与纠正措施可能禁止para-full表面火灾的发生,限制身体和周围环境的温度上升低于900°C,并停止在储罐火灾蔓延的一段2 h,这是传统模式的6.0倍。并对传统的钢制焊接单盘IFR在设计和使用中提出了相应的优化策略。
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引用次数: 0
A machine learning-based approach for broadband sound recognition: A case study on investigating potential fire hazards of grinding machines 基于机器学习的宽带声音识别方法:调查磨床潜在火灾隐患的案例研究
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105918
Shengli Kong , Qianyu Tan , Kai Zhou , Wei Wang , Ting Wang
Fire investigations often rely on visual evidence, which may be compromised by surveillance failures, occlusion, or image loss. Broadband acoustic signals, with strong penetration and temporal resolution, provide complementary clues about equipment conditions, explosions, and structural failures. Yet their non-stationary and overlapping characteristics hinder analysis using conventional methods. This study presents a machine learning-based broadband sound recognition approach, using grinding machines as representative fire hazards. Mel-frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and spectrogram gray-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) features were extracted to capture spectral and texture information, then fused for classification with XGBoost. Bayesian optimization was applied to adapt hyperparameters and improve robustness. The proposed model initially achieved 94.2 % accuracy and 91.5 % recall in multi-condition recognition using default hyperparameters. After applying Bayesian optimization to adapt hyperparameters and improve robustness, the model achieved 96.7 % accuracy and 93.3 % recall, outperforming support vector machines, random forests, and backpropagation neural networks. These results demonstrate the potential of broadband acoustic data to support fire investigations and provide a practical pathway for scene reconstruction and evidence enhancement.
火灾调查通常依赖于视觉证据,而这些证据可能会因监视失败、遮挡或图像丢失而受到损害。宽带声信号具有很强的穿透性和时间分辨率,为设备状况、爆炸和结构故障提供了补充线索。然而,它们的非平稳和重叠特性阻碍了传统方法的分析。本研究提出了一种基于机器学习的宽带声音识别方法,使用磨床作为具有代表性的火灾隐患。提取Mel-frequency倒谱系数(MFCCs)和谱图灰度共生矩阵(GLCM)特征来捕获光谱和纹理信息,然后用XGBoost进行融合分类。采用贝叶斯优化方法自适应超参数,提高鲁棒性。在使用默认超参数的多条件识别中,该模型的初始准确率为94.2%,召回率为91.5%。在应用贝叶斯优化来适应超参数并提高鲁棒性后,该模型达到了96.7%的准确率和93.3%的召回率,优于支持向量机、随机森林和反向传播神经网络。这些结果证明了宽带声学数据支持火灾调查的潜力,并为现场重建和证据增强提供了切实可行的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying reliability and uncertainty in hydrogen infrastructure through integrated incident analysis 通过综合事件分析量化氢基础设施的可靠性和不确定性
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105921
Saksham Timalsina, Chengyi Zhang, Uttam Kumar Pal
Hydrogen infrastructure introduces complex safety and reliability challenges due to its unique physicochemical properties, which tightly connect technical, human, and operational elements involved. Addressing these challenges requires methods that incorporate real system behavior and quantify uncertainty rather than relying solely on theoretical hazard models. This study analyzes incidents from the H2Tools database and develops an integrated framework for reliability and probabilistic safety assessment of hydrogen systems. Root causes are categorized using an Ishikawa diagram, after which a risk-impact matrix evaluates the relative contribution of each failure mechanism. A Monte-Carlo uncertainty analysis improves assessment by characterizing uncertainty in risk severity and highlighting causes that may escalate under unfavorable conditions. Results show that human errors, procedural deficiencies, and technical failures dominate risk profiles, exhibiting significant uncertainty ranges that affect system-level reliability. To support practical safety engineering, the study compiles targeted engineering controls, operational standards, maintenance considerations, and training measures linked directly to the identified failure modes. The proposed framework transforms empirical incident data into a structured, reliability-oriented decision-support tool, offering actionable guidance for enhancing safety, resilience, and operational assurance in hydrogen energy systems.
氢基础设施由于其独特的物理化学特性,将技术、人力和操作要素紧密联系在一起,因此带来了复杂的安全性和可靠性挑战。解决这些挑战需要结合实际系统行为和量化不确定性的方法,而不是仅仅依赖于理论风险模型。本研究分析了H2Tools数据库中的事故,并开发了一个氢气系统可靠性和概率安全评估的综合框架。使用石川图对根本原因进行分类,然后使用风险影响矩阵评估每种失效机制的相对贡献。蒙特卡罗不确定性分析通过描述风险严重程度的不确定性并强调在不利条件下可能升级的原因来改进评估。结果表明,人为错误、程序缺陷和技术故障主导了风险概况,显示出影响系统级可靠性的显著不确定性范围。为了支持实际的安全工程,该研究汇编了有针对性的工程控制、操作标准、维护注意事项以及与已识别的故障模式直接相关的培训措施。该框架将经验事件数据转化为结构化的、以可靠性为导向的决策支持工具,为提高氢能系统的安全性、弹性和运行保障提供可操作的指导。
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引用次数: 0
A Safety-II theory based method for human reliability assessment to prevent fire and explosion during shipping LNG offloading 基于Safety-II理论的LNG船舶卸载过程火灾与爆炸人为可靠性评估方法
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105920
Renyou Zhang , Mengjie Shi , Rabiul Islam , Shanguang Chen , Shaowen Ding , Zhen Liao , Zhan Dou
Human factors constitute the important element in ensuring operational safety in high-risk industries. Particularly in complex operations such as shipping Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) offloading, even minor operational errors can cause disastrous consequences such as fire and explosion. Traditional accident causation theories often focus excessively on specific and localized causes, overlooking the intricate interconnections among components involved in complex tasks. This oversight can result in an inaccurate safety analysis model and questionable quantitative outcomes. Therefore, this study adopts the Safety-II theoretical framework, providing a perspective for understanding dynamic human-factor interactions in complex systems. Firstly, this study employs the Functional Resonance Analysis Method and Minimum Spanning Tree (FRAM-MST) algorithm to identify the critical functional coupling. Building upon this framework, the Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (CREAM) and Bayesian network (BN) are introduced to perform a quantitative risk analysis of unsafe behavior, assessing them from a probability perspective and calculating the Human Error Probability (HEP). The findings indicate that HEP for the LNG offloading operation is 1.52 × 10−4. This outcome provides operators with a clearer understanding of the risks associated with the operations, enabling the development of targeted explosion-proof measures.
人为因素是保证高风险行业安全运行的重要因素。特别是在运输液化天然气(LNG)卸载等复杂作业中,即使是很小的操作错误也可能导致火灾和爆炸等灾难性后果。传统的事故原因理论往往过分关注具体的、局部的原因,忽视了复杂任务中各组成部分之间错综复杂的相互联系。这种疏忽可能导致不准确的安全分析模型和可疑的定量结果。因此,本研究采用Safety-II理论框架,为理解复杂系统中人因动态交互提供了一个视角。首先,采用功能共振分析法和最小生成树(FRAM-MST)算法识别关键功能耦合;在此框架的基础上,引入认知可靠性和错误分析方法(CREAM)和贝叶斯网络(BN)对不安全行为进行定量风险分析,从概率角度对其进行评估,并计算人类错误概率(HEP)。结果表明,LNG卸载作业的HEP为1.52 × 10−4。该结果使作业人员能够更清楚地了解与作业相关的风险,从而能够制定有针对性的防爆措施。
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引用次数: 0
Definition of a simplified risk assessment methodology for NaTech scenarios triggered by tornado 龙卷风引发的NaTech情景的简化风险评估方法的定义
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105915
Fabrizio Santamato , Clara Iannantuoni , Valentina Busini
Natural catastrophic events affecting technological systems may lead to the release of hazardous materials, giving rise to so-called “NaTech” events. The increasing number of NaTech events observed over recent years, possibly related to climate change, has reinforced interest in and the need to investigate the risk of exposure to natural hazards affecting the process industry. In the literature, most attention has been devoted to accidents triggered by floods and earthquakes, whereas no specific analysis protocols aimed at assessing the risk posed by tornadoes and severe wind gusts on production facilities are currently available. Consequently, the objective of this paper is to fill a gap in NaTech risk assessment by proposing a qualitative methodology for assessing the risk related to tornadoes and severe wind gusts. The proposed approach provides a basis for an objective, although simplified, comparison of both the risk posed by different plants potentially exposed to extreme wind events and the identification of the most critical equipment within a single plant. The analysis, partly based on existing qualitative methods, requires limited resources and data and relies on index-based evaluations.
A screening phase is first carried out by assessing the statistical incidence of the natural event using a European database, followed by the application of a qualitative method for evaluating equipment vulnerability and the consequences of their failure. Although the methodology was initially developed using data from the Italian territory, it can be applied to other countries, as demonstrated by the location sensitivity analysis performed at the end of the case study. The application of the methodology to a real case study showed that vertically developed and exposed assets, such as flare stacks, process columns, and gasoline storage tanks, represent the most critical equipment, consistently associated with medium to high risk levels. The sensitivity analysis, performed by relocating the same plant into different geographical areas, confirmed the robustness of the approach, as highly vulnerable assets remained critical across all locations, while less vulnerable equipment (e.g., pumps and phase separators) exhibited risk levels strongly dependent on local wind hazard conditions. These results demonstrate the capability of the methodology to effectively discriminate among territorial risk levels and to support the identification of installations requiring more detailed quantitative analyses.
影响技术系统的自然灾难性事件可能导致有害物质的释放,从而产生所谓的“NaTech”事件。近年来观察到的可能与气候变化有关的NaTech事件越来越多,这加强了人们对调查影响加工工业的自然灾害风险的兴趣和需要。在文献中,大多数注意力都集中在洪水和地震引发的事故上,而目前没有针对评估龙卷风和猛烈阵风对生产设施造成的风险的具体分析方案。因此,本文的目的是通过提出一种评估龙卷风和强阵风相关风险的定性方法来填补NaTech风险评估的空白。拟议的方法提供了一个客观的基础,尽管简化了,比较可能暴露于极端风事件的不同工厂所构成的风险,并确定单个工厂内最关键的设备。这种分析部分基于现有的定性方法,需要有限的资源和数据,并依赖于基于指数的评价。筛选阶段首先通过使用欧洲数据库评估自然事件的统计发生率来进行,然后应用定性方法评估设备脆弱性及其故障后果。虽然该方法最初是利用意大利领土的数据制定的,但它可以应用于其他国家,正如在案例研究结束时进行的地点敏感性分析所证明的那样。将该方法应用于实际案例研究表明,垂直开发和暴露的资产,如火炬堆、工艺塔和汽油储罐,是最关键的设备,始终处于中至高风险水平。通过将同一工厂搬迁到不同的地理区域进行敏感性分析,证实了该方法的稳健性,因为高度脆弱的资产在所有地点仍然至关重要,而较不脆弱的设备(例如泵和相分离器)的风险水平强烈依赖于当地的风灾条件。这些结果表明,该方法能够有效地区分区域风险水平,并支持确定需要更详细的定量分析的设施。
{"title":"Definition of a simplified risk assessment methodology for NaTech scenarios triggered by tornado","authors":"Fabrizio Santamato ,&nbsp;Clara Iannantuoni ,&nbsp;Valentina Busini","doi":"10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105915","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105915","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Natural catastrophic events affecting technological systems may lead to the release of hazardous materials, giving rise to so-called “NaTech” events. The increasing number of NaTech events observed over recent years, possibly related to climate change, has reinforced interest in and the need to investigate the risk of exposure to natural hazards affecting the process industry. In the literature, most attention has been devoted to accidents triggered by floods and earthquakes, whereas no specific analysis protocols aimed at assessing the risk posed by tornadoes and severe wind gusts on production facilities are currently available. Consequently, the objective of this paper is to fill a gap in NaTech risk assessment by proposing a qualitative methodology for assessing the risk related to tornadoes and severe wind gusts. The proposed approach provides a basis for an objective, although simplified, comparison of both the risk posed by different plants potentially exposed to extreme wind events and the identification of the most critical equipment within a single plant. The analysis, partly based on existing qualitative methods, requires limited resources and data and relies on index-based evaluations.</div><div>A screening phase is first carried out by assessing the statistical incidence of the natural event using a European database, followed by the application of a qualitative method for evaluating equipment vulnerability and the consequences of their failure. Although the methodology was initially developed using data from the Italian territory, it can be applied to other countries, as demonstrated by the location sensitivity analysis performed at the end of the case study. The application of the methodology to a real case study showed that vertically developed and exposed assets, such as flare stacks, process columns, and gasoline storage tanks, represent the most critical equipment, consistently associated with medium to high risk levels. The sensitivity analysis, performed by relocating the same plant into different geographical areas, confirmed the robustness of the approach, as highly vulnerable assets remained critical across all locations, while less vulnerable equipment (e.g., pumps and phase separators) exhibited risk levels strongly dependent on local wind hazard conditions. These results demonstrate the capability of the methodology to effectively discriminate among territorial risk levels and to support the identification of installations requiring more detailed quantitative analyses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":16291,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries","volume":"100 ","pages":"Article 105915"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145938638","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparative evaluation of chemical segregation methods based on chemical compatibility assessment in chemical laboratories 基于化学相容性评价的化学分离方法在化学实验室中的比较评价
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105916
Uiam Lee , Dal Jae Park
Chemical laboratories storing diverse chemicals in limited spaces face significant risks from incompatible chemical storage, which can lead to fires, explosions, and toxic gas releases during accidental spills or leaks. Although various institutions have developed their own segregation guidelines, no standardized method exists for quantitatively comparing these approaches or systematically optimizing storage under space constraints. This study develops the Chemical incompatibility Hazard Index (C.H.I.), a novel quantitative metric for evaluating mixed storage risks, and applies it to compare seven international segregation methods.
Using the CAMEO (Computer-Aided Management of Emergency Operations) Chemicals database, 52 chemicals from a Korean quantum dot synthesis laboratory were classified according to each method. The seven methods evaluated include the existing Korean regulatory-based approach, systems from Stanford University, Harvard University, Imperial College London, and Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, the Merck classification system, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reactive groups. Compatibility charts were generated for each method, and C.H.I. values were calculated based on the proportion of incompatible, caution, and compatible pairwise reactions within each storage group.
Among the seven methods, the NOAA reactive group-based approach yielded the lowest average C.H.I. (22.68), significantly outperforming the existing laboratory method (47.78). Subsequent optimization through consolidation of compatible groups to reduce storage locations and selective isolation of six high-reactivity chemicals (11.5 % of inventory) achieved a 71.6 % reduction in average C.H.I. (from 47.78 to 13.56) and a 55.4 % reduction in maximum C.H.I. (from 80.00 to 35.71).
This study establishes the first quantitative framework for comparing and optimizing chemical segregation methods. The C.H.I. methodology provides a reproducible approach applicable to diverse laboratory environments, particularly benefiting space-constrained research facilities seeking maximum safety improvement with minimal intervention.
化学实验室在有限的空间内储存各种化学品,面临着化学品储存不相容的重大风险,这可能导致火灾、爆炸和意外泄漏或泄漏时有毒气体的释放。虽然各种机构已经制定了自己的隔离准则,但没有标准化的方法可以定量比较这些方法或在空间限制下系统地优化存储。本研究提出了化学不相容危害指数(Chemical incompatibility Hazard Index, C.H.I.),这是一种评估混合储存风险的新定量指标,并将其应用于比较七种国际分离方法。利用CAMEO(计算机辅助应急行动管理)化学物质数据库,对国内量子点合成实验室的52种化学物质进行了分类。评估的7种方法包括韩国现有的基于监管的方法、斯坦福大学、哈佛大学、帝国理工学院、弗雷德哈钦森癌症研究中心的系统、默克公司的分类系统、美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)的反应群。生成每种方法的配伍图,并根据每个存储组中不相容、谨慎和相容成对反应的比例计算C.H.I.值。在7种方法中,基于NOAA反应基团的方法的平均C.H.I.最低(22.68),明显优于现有的实验室方法(47.78)。随后的优化通过整合相容组减少存储位置和选择性分离6种高反应性化学品(11.5%的库存)实现了平均C.H.I.降低71.6%(从47.78降至13.56),最大C.H.I.降低55.4%(从80.00降至35.71)。本研究建立了比较和优化化学分离方法的第一个定量框架。C.H.I.方法提供了一种可重复的方法,适用于不同的实验室环境,特别有利于空间有限的研究机构,寻求以最小的干预来最大限度地提高安全性。
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引用次数: 0
Public risk perception and behavioral responses to flood-triggered Natech Events: A field investigation in industrial areas of Luzhou, China 公众对洪水引发的科技事件的风险认知和行为反应:中国泸州工业区的实地调查
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105914
Xiao Tang , Xiaolong Luo , Baofeng Di , Bingwei Tian
Natural hazard triggered technological accidents, known as Natech events, are becoming increasingly frequent with the intensification of extreme weather, posing significant challenges to the risk management and response of such complex disasters. Therefore, the risk management and response to complex disasters represented by Natech events have become crucial components of contemporary risk management. In light of these challenges, this study conducted a field investigation on public perception of flood-triggered Natech events in the industrial areas of Luzhou, China. Guided by the Risk Information Seeking and Processing (RISP) model, the field investigation employed semi-structured street interviews (n = 33) to explore patterns of public risk perception and behavioral responses in Natech scenarios. The findings reveal that Individuals with dual identities (the workers at chemical and distillery factories and residents) tend to have a higher Natech risk perception. In addition, behavioral responses are influenced by risk perception, while decision-making is shaped by perceived barriers and response evaluations. Moreover, insufficient Natech risk information drives risk communication only when individuals are willing to reduce Natech risk but lack the information for effective responses. Lastly, a social expectation bias exists between actual Natech risk perception and behavioral responses and the intentions expressed in interviews. Within this sample, we identified several gaps in public Natech risk perception and response preparedness. Based on these gaps, several targeted recommendations are proposed. These measures will enable researchers to formulate more effective Natech risk communication strategies targeting public risk perception and behavioral responses.
随着极端天气的加剧,由自然灾害引发的技术事故(即Natech事件)越来越频繁,给此类复杂灾害的风险管理和应对带来了重大挑战。因此,以科技事件为代表的复杂灾害的风险管理和应对已成为当代风险管理的重要组成部分。鉴于这些挑战,本研究对中国泸州工业地区公众对洪水引发的Natech事件的看法进行了实地调查。在风险信息寻求和处理(RISP)模型的指导下,实地调查采用半结构化的街头访谈(n = 33)来探索Natech情景下公众风险感知和行为反应的模式。研究结果表明,具有双重身份的个体(化学和酿酒厂的工人和居民)往往具有更高的Natech风险感知。此外,行为反应受风险感知的影响,而决策则受感知障碍和反应评价的影响。此外,只有在个体愿意降低新技术风险但缺乏有效应对信息的情况下,新技术风险信息不足才会推动风险沟通。最后,在实际的科技风险感知和行为反应与访谈中表达的意图之间存在社会期望偏差。在这个样本中,我们发现了公众对Natech风险认知和应对准备方面的几个差距。根据这些差距,提出了几项有针对性的建议。这些措施将使研究人员能够制定针对公众风险认知和行为反应的更有效的Natech风险传播策略。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence in process safety: A review of opportunities, challenges, and future directions for the chemical process industries 过程安全中的人工智能:化学过程工业的机遇、挑战和未来方向综述
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2026.105917
D. Christopher Selvam , T. Raja , Divyesh Rameshbhai Vaghela , Mansingh Meena , Sasmeeta Tripathy , Bhavan Kumar , Honganur Raju Manjunath , Kulmani Mehar , Yuvarajan Devarajan
The Chemical Process Industries (CPIs) are undergoing a data-driven transformation, as artificial intelligence (AI), the Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), and advanced analytics are redefining critical safety operations. This review consolidates recent applications of AI for hazard identification, dynamic risk assessment, early incident detection, and proactive barrier management in refineries and petrochemical facilities, emphasizing reported enhancements of 30–60 % in anomaly detection and near-miss classification compared to traditional methodologies. Ongoing challenges include sparse and biased incident datasets, limited interpretability, difficulties in validating algorithms under actual plant conditions, and regulatory ambiguities that limit widespread deployment. To mitigate these deficiencies, the paper proposes a multilayered framework that aligns AI functions with process safety management (PSM) elements, including asset integrity, alarm management, and emergency response. Future research priorities include the development of explainable, certifiable artificial intelligence, digital-twin-driven predictive risk assessment, and the integration of functional safety and risk governance standards, such as International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) 61511 and ISO 31000. The review delineates pathways to establish safer, cleaner, and more resilient chemical and energy systems globally.
化学过程工业(cpi)正在经历一场数据驱动的转型,人工智能(AI)、工业物联网(IIoT)和高级分析正在重新定义关键的安全操作。本文总结了人工智能在炼油厂和石化设施中的危害识别、动态风险评估、早期事件检测和主动屏障管理等方面的最新应用,强调了与传统方法相比,人工智能在异常检测和脱险分类方面的提高了30 - 60%。目前面临的挑战包括稀疏和有偏差的事件数据集,有限的可解释性,在实际工厂条件下验证算法的困难,以及限制广泛部署的监管模糊性。为了减轻这些缺陷,本文提出了一个多层框架,将人工智能功能与过程安全管理(PSM)元素(包括资产完整性、警报管理和应急响应)结合起来。未来的研究重点包括开发可解释、可认证的人工智能、数字孪生驱动的预测风险评估,以及功能安全和风险治理标准的整合,如国际电工委员会(IEC) 61511和ISO 31000。该综述概述了在全球建立更安全、更清洁、更有弹性的化学和能源系统的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Fire risk analysis of working items during nuclear power plant decommissioning in Taiwan 台湾核电厂退役工作物件火灾风险分析
IF 4.2 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2025.105911
Yu-Hsiang Huang , Tzu-Sheng Shen , Ming-Yu Kuo , Chi-Min Shu
This research comprehensively analysed domestic and foreign laws and regulations, case studies, and site surveys of Unit One of the First Nuclear Power Plant in Taiwan to conduct a risk analysis of fire prevention in the decommissioning task. It initially proposed and summarised the following principles of fire protection for relevant authorities during the decommissioning process. At the end of this study, six recommendations in Tabble 5 are summarised as follows: (1) Safety of combustibles management, (2) Safety of ventilation and dust collection equipment, (3) Electrical safety, (4) Fire safety, (5) Construction safety, and (6) Personnel safety.
本研究综合分析了台湾第一核电站1号机组的国内外法律法规、案例研究和现场调查,对退役任务中的防火风险进行了分析。它初步提出并总结了有关当局在退役过程中的下列防火原则。在本研究的最后,表5总结了6项建议:(1)可燃物管理安全,(2)通风集尘设备安全,(3)电气安全,(4)消防安全,(5)建筑安全,(6)人员安全。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries
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