Elderly labor supply, endogenous grandparental childcare, and fertility in an OLG model

IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-21 DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107102
Mauro Maria Baldi, Raffaella Coppier, Elisabetta Michetti
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Abstract

This paper explores how grandparental childcare influences fertility decisions, elderly labor supply, and economic development. We model the time elderly individuals allocate between work and caring for grandchildren. In high-income countries, higher wages lead to increased investments in children’s education and human capital. Interestingly, the decision to work in old age does not depend on economic development but on wage dynamics. Specifically, when the effective wage grows rapidly, grandparents are more likely to work, even while caring for grandchildren. These findings highlight the importance of intergenerational time transfers in shaping economic outcomes. Future research could explore the long-term effects of aging populations on labor markets and family dynamics.
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基于OLG模型的老年劳动力供给、内生祖父母抚养与生育率
本文探讨了祖父母育儿对生育决策、老年劳动力供给和经济发展的影响。我们模拟了老年人在工作和照顾孙辈之间分配的时间。在高收入国家,较高的工资导致对儿童教育和人力资本的投资增加。有趣的是,决定是否在老年工作并不取决于经济发展,而是取决于工资动态。具体来说,当有效工资快速增长时,祖父母更有可能工作,即使是在照顾孙辈的时候。这些发现强调了代际时间转移在塑造经济成果方面的重要性。未来的研究可以探索人口老龄化对劳动力市场和家庭动态的长期影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Economic Modelling
Economic Modelling ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
10.60%
发文量
295
期刊介绍: Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.
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