Dynamics of rural-urban migration in India: 1960-1981.

C M Becker, E S Mills, J G Williamson
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Abstract

"This paper analyzes a multi-sectoral simulation model of the Indian economy designed to isolate the sources of Indian economic growth and urbanization since 1960. The model shares many common traits with other computable general equilibrium (CGE) simulation models, and its underlying framework is neoclassical. The model stresses spatial issues so that it can provide predictions on rural/urban labor demands, and hence on migration flows. The central issue we seek to evaluate is whether a neoclassical development paradigm can explain adequately the somewhat paradoxical patterns of urbanization and economic growth observed in India since 1960. Our conclusion is a qualified, affirmative response, based on the model's ability to replicate key macroeconomic variables."

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印度城乡人口迁移动态:1960-1981。
本文分析了印度经济的多部门模拟模型,该模型旨在隔离1960年以来印度经济增长和城市化的来源。该模型与其他可计算一般均衡(CGE)模拟模型具有许多共同特征,其基本框架是新古典的。该模型强调空间问题,因此它可以预测农村/城市劳动力需求,从而预测人口流动。我们试图评估的中心问题是,新古典主义发展范式是否能够充分解释自1960年以来在印度观察到的有点矛盾的城市化和经济增长模式。基于模型复制关键宏观经济变量的能力,我们的结论是一个合格的、肯定的回应。”
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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Rural-urban migration, population and labour allocation: labour surplus models and alternatives. Dynamics of rural-urban migration in India: 1960-1981.
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