Extinction and persistence of a stochastic SIRV epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate.

IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Advances in Difference Equations Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-04-08 DOI:10.1186/s13662-021-03347-3
Ramziya Rifhat, Zhidong Teng, Chunxia Wang
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

In this paper, a stochastic SIRV epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence and vaccination is investigated. The value of our study lies in two aspects. Mathematically, with the help of Lyapunov function method and stochastic analysis theory, we obtain a stochastic threshold of the model that completely determines the extinction and persistence of the epidemic. Epidemiologically, we find that random fluctuations can suppress disease outbreak, which can provide us some useful control strategies to regulate disease dynamics. In other words, neglecting random perturbations overestimates the ability of the disease to spread. The numerical simulations are given to illustrate the main theoretical results.

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具有非线性发病率的随机SIRV流行模型的消灭与持续。
本文研究了一类具有一般非线性发病率和疫苗接种的随机siv流行模型。我们研究的价值在于两个方面。在数学上,借助Lyapunov函数方法和随机分析理论,我们得到了一个完全决定疫情灭绝和持续的模型的随机阈值。在流行病学上,我们发现随机波动可以抑制疾病的爆发,这可以为我们提供一些有用的控制策略来调节疾病的动态。换句话说,忽略随机扰动高估了疾病传播的能力。通过数值模拟来说明主要的理论结果。
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4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions. The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between. The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations. Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.
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