Study of transmission dynamics of novel COVID-19 by using mathematical model.

IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Advances in Difference Equations Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-07-01 DOI:10.1186/s13662-020-02783-x
Rahim Ud Din, Kamal Shah, Imtiaz Ahmad, Thabet Abdeljawad
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引用次数: 52

Abstract

In this research work, we present a mathematical model for novel coronavirus-19 infectious disease which consists of three different compartments: susceptible, infected, and recovered under convex incident rate involving immigration rate. We first derive the formulation of the model. Also, we give some qualitative aspects for the model including existence of equilibriums and its stability results by using various tools of nonlinear analysis. Then, by means of the nonstandard finite difference scheme (NSFD), we simulate the results for the data of Wuhan city against two different sets of values of immigration parameter. By means of simulation, we show how protection, exposure, death, and cure rates affect the susceptible, infected, and recovered population with the passage of time involving immigration. On the basis of simulation, we observe the dynamical behavior due to immigration of susceptible and infected classes or one of these two.

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基于数学模型的新型冠状病毒传播动力学研究
在涉及移民率的凸发生率下,我们建立了新型冠状病毒-19传染病的数学模型,该模型由易感、感染和恢复三个不同的区室组成。我们首先推导出模型的公式。此外,我们还利用各种非线性分析工具,给出了模型的一些定性方面,包括平衡点的存在性及其稳定性结果。然后,利用非标准有限差分格式(NSFD)对两组不同的移民参数值对武汉市数据进行了数值模拟。通过模拟,我们展示了保护、暴露、死亡和治愈率如何随着时间的推移影响易感、感染和恢复的人口,包括移民。在模拟的基础上,我们观察了由于易感类和感染类或两者之一的迁移而引起的动态行为。
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4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions. The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between. The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations. Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.
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