Crowding effects on the dynamics of COVID-19 mathematical model.

IF 4.1 3区 数学 Q1 Mathematics Advances in Difference Equations Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-12-01 DOI:10.1186/s13662-020-03137-3
Zizhen Zhang, Anwar Zeb, Ebraheem Alzahrani, Sohail Iqbal
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

A disastrous coronavirus, which infects a normal person through droplets of infected person, has a route that is usually by mouth, eyes, nose or hands. These contact routes make it very dangerous as no one can get rid of it. The significant factor of increasing trend in COVID19 cases is the crowding factor, which we named "crowding effects". Modeling of this effect is highly necessary as it will help to predict the possible impact on the overall population. The nonlinear incidence rate is the best approach to modeling this effect. At the first step, the model is formulated by using a nonlinear incidence rate with inclusion of the crowding effect, then its positivity and proposed boundedness will be addressed leading to model dynamics using the reproductive number. Then to get the graphical results a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) scheme and fourth order Runge-Kutta (RK4) method are applied.

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拥挤效应对COVID-19动态数学模型的影响。
一种灾难性的冠状病毒通过感染者的飞沫感染正常人,其传播途径通常是口、眼、鼻或手。这些接触途径使它非常危险,因为没有人能摆脱它。导致新冠肺炎病例呈增加趋势的显著因素是拥挤因素,我们将其命名为“拥挤效应”。对这种影响进行建模是非常必要的,因为它将有助于预测对总体人口可能产生的影响。非线性发生率是模拟这种效应的最佳方法。首先,利用包含拥挤效应的非线性发生率来建立模型,然后利用繁殖数来处理其正性和提出的有界性,从而实现模型动力学。然后采用非标准有限差分(NSFD)格式和四阶龙格-库塔(RK4)方法得到图形化结果。
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4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The theory of difference equations, the methods used, and their wide applications have advanced beyond their adolescent stage to occupy a central position in applicable analysis. In fact, in the last 15 years, the proliferation of the subject has been witnessed by hundreds of research articles, several monographs, many international conferences, and numerous special sessions. The theory of differential and difference equations forms two extreme representations of real world problems. For example, a simple population model when represented as a differential equation shows the good behavior of solutions whereas the corresponding discrete analogue shows the chaotic behavior. The actual behavior of the population is somewhere in between. The aim of Advances in Difference Equations is to report mainly the new developments in the field of difference equations, and their applications in all fields. We will also consider research articles emphasizing the qualitative behavior of solutions of ordinary, partial, delay, fractional, abstract, stochastic, fuzzy, and set-valued differential equations. Advances in Difference Equations will accept high-quality articles containing original research results and survey articles of exceptional merit.
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