Demographic and territorial characteristics of COVID-19 cases and excess mortality in the European Union during the first wave.

IF 1.6 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-05-29 DOI:10.1007/s12546-021-09263-3
Anne Goujon, Fabrizio Natale, Daniela Ghio, Alessandra Conte
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引用次数: 20

Abstract

This article explores for a large number of countries in the European Union (plus the United Kingdom) the main demographic differentials in positive tested COVID-19 cases and excess mortality during the first wave in 2020, accounting for differences at territorial level, where population density and size play a main role in the diffusion and effects of the disease in terms of morbidity and mortality. This knowledge complements and refines the epidemiological information about the spread and impact of the virus. For this analysis, we rely on the descriptive exploration of (1) data from The European Surveillance System (TESSy) database developed at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) on the number of cases and fatality rates and (2) of weekly mortality data collected by Eurostat. The analysis at territorial level studies the changes in R0-the basic reproduction number-and median excess mortality, across territories with different levels of urbanization. The unique findings of this study encompassing most European Union Member States confirm and define the demographic and territorial differential impacts in terms of infections and fatalities during the first wave of the pandemic in 2020. The information is important for stakeholders at European Union, national and sub-national levels in charge of designing containment measures for COVID-19 and adaptation policies for the future by anticipating the rebound for certain segments of the population with differential medical and economic needs.

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第一波疫情期间欧盟COVID-19病例的人口和地域特征以及过高死亡率
本文探讨了欧盟(加上英国)的许多国家在2020年第一波COVID-19阳性检测病例和超额死亡率方面的主要人口统计学差异,考虑到领土层面的差异,人口密度和规模在疾病的发病率和死亡率方面的扩散和影响中发挥了主要作用。这些知识补充和完善了有关病毒传播和影响的流行病学信息。对于这一分析,我们依赖于(1)欧洲疾病预防和控制中心(ECDC)开发的欧洲监测系统(TESSy)数据库中关于病例数和死亡率的数据和(2)欧盟统计局收集的每周死亡率数据的描述性探索。区域层面的分析研究了不同城市化水平地区的基本生育数r0和超额死亡率中位数的变化。这项涵盖大多数欧洲联盟成员国的研究的独特结果证实并确定了2020年第一波大流行期间在感染和死亡方面的人口和领土差异影响。这些信息对于欧盟、国家和国家以下各级负责制定COVID-19遏制措施和未来适应政策的利益攸关方非常重要,因为他们可以预测具有不同医疗和经济需求的某些人群的反弹。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Research is a peer-reviewed, international journal which publishes papers on demography and population-related issues. Coverage is not restricted geographically. The Journal publishes substantive empirical analyses, theoretical works, applied research and contributions to methodology. Submissions may take the form of original research papers, perspectives, review articles and shorter technical research notes. Special issues emanating from conferences and other meetings are also considered.
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