Health and economic benefits of clean air policies in China: A case study for Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.

IF 7.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Pollution Pub Date : 2021-09-15 Epub Date: 2021-06-04 DOI:10.1016/j.envpol.2021.117525
Meng Xu, Zhongfeng Qin, Shaohui Zhang, Yang Xie
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引用次数: 17

Abstract

Exposure to PM2.5 is associated with many adverse health effects, leading to additional social costs. The Blue Sky Protection Campaign (BSPC) has been implemented in 2018 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) area to control air pollution. This study assesses PM2.5-related health and economic benefits of the BSPC in the BTH region. Results show that by 2020, PM2.5 reduction can avoid 3561 thousand morbidity cases (equivalent to a 24% reduction in the 2020 baseline scenario) and 24 thousand premature deaths (12%) in the BTH region, with the majority benefit in Hebei. By 2030, the avoided morbidity and mortality cases will be 2943 (18%) thousand and 20 (9%) thousand, respectively. PM2.5 reductions are highly effective in reducing work time loss, which will decrease the total annual work time by 1.7 × 108 h (24%) in the BTH region by 2020. From the economic aspect, the reduced PM2.5 concentration will save 30 million USD (25%) health expenditures and avoid 60 billion USD (13%) economic loss by using the value of statistical life (VSL) by 2020. In 2030, the health expenditures and economic loss will also decrease significantly, with 17 million USD (18%) and 63 billion USD (10%), respectively, in the BTH region. Besides, the economic benefits far exceed the policy costs of the BSPC, and the Δ benefit/Δ cost ratios of Beijing are significantly higher than those of Hebei. The BSPC in BTH has significant positive health and economic impacts. This study can provide a basis for future PM2.5-related health risk studies at an urban level in China.

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中国清洁空气政策的健康和经济效益:以京津冀地区为例
接触PM2.5与许多不利的健康影响有关,导致额外的社会成本。2018年,北京在京津冀地区实施了蓝天保护行动,以控制空气污染。本研究评估了BSPC在BTH地区与pm2.5相关的健康和经济效益。结果表明,到2020年,北京地区减少PM2.5可避免356.1万例发病病例(相当于2020年基线情景减少24%)和2.4万例过早死亡(12%),其中河北受益最多。到2030年,可避免的发病率和死亡率将分别为2943千(18%)和20千(9%)。PM2.5的降低对减少工作时间损失非常有效,到2020年,北京地区的年总工作时间将减少1.7 × 108小时(24%)。从经济方面来看,到2020年,PM2.5浓度的降低将节省3000万美元(25%)的医疗支出,并避免600亿美元(13%)的经济损失(使用统计生命值(VSL))。到2030年,BTH地区的卫生支出和经济损失也将大幅下降,分别为1700万美元(18%)和630亿美元(10%)。经济效益远超政策成本,且北京市的Δ效益/Δ成本比显著高于河北省。BSPC在BTH中具有显著的积极健康和经济影响。本研究可为未来中国城市pm2.5相关健康风险研究提供依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Environmental Pollution
Environmental Pollution 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
16.00
自引率
6.70%
发文量
2082
审稿时长
2.9 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Pollution is an international peer-reviewed journal that publishes high-quality research papers and review articles covering all aspects of environmental pollution and its impacts on ecosystems and human health. Subject areas include, but are not limited to: • Sources and occurrences of pollutants that are clearly defined and measured in environmental compartments, food and food-related items, and human bodies; • Interlinks between contaminant exposure and biological, ecological, and human health effects, including those of climate change; • Contaminants of emerging concerns (including but not limited to antibiotic resistant microorganisms or genes, microplastics/nanoplastics, electronic wastes, light, and noise) and/or their biological, ecological, or human health effects; • Laboratory and field studies on the remediation/mitigation of environmental pollution via new techniques and with clear links to biological, ecological, or human health effects; • Modeling of pollution processes, patterns, or trends that is of clear environmental and/or human health interest; • New techniques that measure and examine environmental occurrences, transport, behavior, and effects of pollutants within the environment or the laboratory, provided that they can be clearly used to address problems within regional or global environmental compartments.
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