The impact of the COVID-19, social distancing, and movement restrictions on crime in NSW, Australia.

IF 4.7 3区材料科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC ACS Applied Electronic Materials Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-24 DOI:10.1186/s40163-021-00160-x

Joanna J J Wang, Thomas Fung, Donald Weatherburn

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Abstract

The spread of COVID-19 has prompted Governments around the world to impose draconian restrictions on business activity, public transport, and public freedom of movement. The effect of these restrictions appears to vary from country to country and, in some cases, from one area to another within a country. This paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 restrictions imposed in New South Wales (NSW) by the State Government. We examine week-to-week changes in 13 categories of crime (and four aggregated categories) from 2 January 2017 to 28 June 2020. Rather than using the pre-intervention data to make a forecast and then comparing that with what is actually observed, we use a Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) approach to model the entire time series. Our results are broadly in accord with those of other studies, but we find no effect of the lockdown (upward or downward) on domestic assault.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40163-021-00160-x.

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澳大利亚新南威尔士州 COVID-19、社会疏远和行动限制对犯罪的影响。

COVID-19 的传播促使世界各国政府对商业活动、公共交通和公众行动自由施加严厉的限制。这些限制措施的效果似乎因国家而异，在某些情况下，也因国家内不同地区而异。本文研究了新南威尔士州（NSW）政府实施的 COVID-19 限制措施的影响。我们研究了从 2017 年 1 月 2 日至 2020 年 6 月 28 日期间 13 类犯罪（以及 4 个综合类犯罪）的每周变化。我们没有使用干预前的数据进行预测，然后将其与实际观察到的数据进行比较，而是使用方框-詹金斯（ARIMA）方法对整个时间序列进行建模。我们的研究结果与其他研究结果基本一致，但我们发现封锁（向上或向下）对家庭攻击行为没有影响：在线版本包含补充材料，可查阅 10.1186/s40163-021-00160-x。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

ACS Applied Electronic Materials Multiple-

CiteScore

7.20

自引率

4.30%

发文量

567

期刊介绍： ACS Applied Electronic Materials is an interdisciplinary journal publishing original research covering all aspects of electronic materials. The journal is devoted to reports of new and original experimental and theoretical research of an applied nature that integrate knowledge in the areas of materials science, engineering, optics, physics, and chemistry into important applications of electronic materials. Sample research topics that span the journal's scope are inorganic, organic, ionic and polymeric materials with properties that include conducting, semiconducting, superconducting, insulating, dielectric, magnetic, optoelectronic, piezoelectric, ferroelectric and thermoelectric. Indexed/Abstracted： Web of Science SCIE Scopus CAS INSPEC Portico

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